The Cleveland Guardians (62-42) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-39) on Sunday, July 28th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MLBN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-145)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
- The Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games, indicating a strong offensive performance.
- In their last 15 games, the Phillies have won 5 out of 7 home games, showcasing a strong home-field advantage.
- The Phillies have a league-best home record of 38-17, which is the highest home win percentage in the league.
- In their last 15 games, the Phillies have held their opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 6 games, demonstrating solid pitching and defense.
- The Phillies have a positive run differential of +20 in their last 15 games, indicating they are outscoring their opponents by a significant margin.
Guardians vs Phillies
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only push across one run.
Tyler Phillips pitched a gem for the Phillies in this one, going nine innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Carlos Carrasco had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss.
Kyle Schwarber and Brandon Marsh each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 2/3 with two RBIs. Bryce Harper also had a two RBI game at the plate.
When favored, the Guardians have a 45-23 record, but as underdogs, they are 17-19. Their overall run line record is 50-54, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs this season. The under has hit in their last 4 games, and their over/under record is 49-49. Cleveland is 33-15 at home and 29-27 on the road, and they are looking to bounce back after losing four of their last six games.
Cleveland is 62-42 overall and holds a 4.5-game lead in the AL Central over the Twins. In series play, they have a 20-10-3 record. Today, they face the Phillies on the road, and the O/U line is set at 9.5 runs. In games with a total of 9.5 or higher, the over has hit in 2 of 3 matchups.
Joey Cantillo Gets The Start For The Guardians
The Guardians will be sending Joey Cantillo to the mound today against the Phillies. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 82 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB and lead the Guardians. He also leads the team with 24 home runs. However, he has gone just 7/30 in his last eight games. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the MLB in RBIs, as his 72 is 5th in the league. Naylor is 2nd on the team with 22 homers but is batting just .238 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Currently, they are batting .240 as a team and have a collective on-base percentage of .312.
Philadelphia is looking to snap a three-series losing streak as they head into today’s game against the Guardians. The Phillies have an overall series record of 19-11-5, and they are 53-51 against the run line this season. Their over/under record is 46-53, and the under has hit in their last two games.
With a 65-39 record, the Phillies lead the NL East by 9.5 games over the Braves. They are 15-10 against NL East teams and have a 38-17 home record. As favorites, the Phillies are 57-31 straight up and 45-43 against the run line. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game.
Kolby Allard Gets The Start For The Phillies
Coming off a season in which he made four appearances and three starts, left-hander Kolby Allard will take the mound for the Phillies against the Guardians. His ERA last season was 6.57, and he finished with a record of 0-1. Allard’s WHIP was 1.62, and he allowed a batting average of .296. In terms of quality starts, he did not have any, and he finished the season with two home runs allowed. Allard’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 3.2, and he averaged 1.0 walks per game.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.9 runs per game (5th) and batting a collective .257 (3rd). They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. Philadelphia also has the 5th best team OPS in the league.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper leading the team with 24 homers and Schwarber not far behind at 20. Harper is also 9th in the league with 67 RBIs, while Schwarber is 15th with 60. However, Harper is just 6/37 in his last nine games, and Schwarber is batting just .245 for the season. Alec Bohm is hitting .297 for the season and has gone deep 11 times.
Guardians vs Phillies Prediction
With the Phillies at -145 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going for today’s Guardians vs. Phillies matchup. We have the Phillies taking this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a good payout at -145.
Looking at the over/under line, we would consider taking the under at 9.5. However, we see this one being a close call, and with a final score of 5-4, we recommend sticking with the Phillies on the money line.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 28, 2024 Guardians, Phillies