Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8/10/2024

The Houston Astros (60-55) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (61-53) on Saturday, August 10th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on None. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-122)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 10.5 Runs
  • The Red Sox have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • The Red Sox have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • The Red Sox have scored 9 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showing their offensive potential.
  • The Red Sox have a better home record (27-29) compared to the Astros’ away record (28-29).

Astros vs Red Sox

houston astros nba

Houston picked up an 8-4 road win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their four runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were at +112 on the money line.

Ronel Blanco only went four innings for the Astros but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Kaleb Ort got the win out of the bullpen. Tanner Houck went six innings for the Red Sox, giving up one earned run on four hits.

Yainer Diaz and Jose Altuve each homered for the Astros, while Alex Bregman scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/4. Yordan Alvarez also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Currently tied with the Mariners for the AL West lead, the Astros have a 60-55 record and are on a three-game winning streak. They lead the series against the Red Sox 1-0 after winning the first game. Houston has a 21-18 record in AL West matchups this season.

As underdogs on the road, the Astros have a 12-11 record straight up and a 20-11 record against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 46-65. The under has hit in all three games this season with an over/under line of 10.5 runs.

Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros

Houston is sending right-hander Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 4-10 with a 5.33 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.52, and he has a batting average allowed of .251. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.65 strikeouts per nine innings. Arrighetti has struggled on the road, coming in with a record of 1-6 and 7.61 ERA. At home, his ERA is 7.47.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yordan Alvarez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Astros, going 7/18 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. Alvarez is currently 12th in the league with 22 homers, and his 59 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Houston’s top run producer so far has been catcher Yainer Diaz, who has gone deep 11 times this season while batting .301.

Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and Jose Altuve are all on nice hitting streaks for the Astros, with Altuve and Alex Bregman both having four-game streaks. As a team, the Astros are 3rd in team batting average at .261 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. Houston’s team batting average of .261 is the 3rd best mark in the majors.

Currently, the Red Sox are 61-53 overall and trail the Orioles by 6.5 games in the AL East. They have lost two straight games and are down 0-1 in the series against the Astros. This season, Boston’s games have averaged 9.7 runs, and their over/under record is 60-48. The over has hit in their last seven games.

Against the run line, the Red Sox are 33-25 on the road and 21-35 at home. As underdogs, they are 34-25 vs. the run line, while as favorites, they are 20-35. In series play, the Red Sox have a 19-13-5 record, and they have won three straight series.

Josh Winckowski Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Josh Winckowski will be starting for the Red Sox today and has made five starts this year. He has an overall record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.44. Winckowski most recently pitched on August 7th out of the bullpen, where he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up one earned run. In that outing, he gave up one homer. For the season, he has allowed a total of five homers. Winckowski’s ERA at home is 6.09 compared to 3.74 on the road. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.7 strikeouts and 3.62 walks.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

As a team, the Red Sox are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s top OPS at .772. Boston is also the league’s top slugging team and have the best team batting average in the league.

Rafael Devers has been a big power threat for the Red Sox this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. He is also 14th in the league with 71 RBIs. Devers is batting .301 for the season. Tyler O’Neill is 2nd on the team with 22 homers and has a batting average of .268. In his last nine games, Wilyer Abreu has gone 7/25 with three homers.

Astros vs Red Sox Prediction

Our pick for today’s Astros vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -122. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is some value in taking them to win outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Josh Winckowski finishing with six strikeouts, which is actually higher than his projected strikeout total. As for Spencer Arrighetti, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.