Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8/9/2024

The Houston Astros (59-55) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (61-52) on Friday, August 9th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-130)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
  • The Red Sox have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • The Red Sox have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • The Red Sox have scored 7 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • The Red Sox have a better overall record (61-52) compared to the Astros (59-55).

Astros vs Red Sox

houston astros nba

The Astros Are Coming Off A Win

Houston closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-4 win on the road. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run and added another three runs in the 3rd.

Yusei Kikuchi put together a good start for the Astros, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He also issued only three walks and struck out eight Rangers batters. Houston’s offense was carried by Victor Caratini, who went 2/4 with a homer and scored three runs.

As underdogs, the Astros have a 14-16 record this season, and they are 45-39 when favored. Houston has covered the run line in four straight road games and has a 30-26 run line record on the road. Their average run differential per game is +0.4.

The Astros are tied with the Mariners for the AL West lead, both teams holding a 59-55 record. Houston has won two straight games, which came in the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers. Their overall series record is 20-16-1, but they have lost two straight series at home.

Ronel Blanco Gets The Start For The Astros

Houston is sending Ronel Blanco to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes in with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 2.98. Blanco’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his 21 starts, Blanco has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.78 strikeouts and 3.48 walks. Blanco most recently pitched on August 3rd vs. the Rays, where he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yainer Diaz has been on fire for the Astros over his last eight games, going 14/31 (.452) with a homer and two RBIs. Diaz’s strong stretch has him as the team’s top hitter for the season, batting .300 with 59 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 with two homers in his last eight games. Alvarez leads the Astros with 22 home runs.

As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league. Houston’s top three home run hitters are Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and Jose Altuve.

The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

Boston closed out their series vs. the Royals with a 8-4 loss on the road. The Red Sox were the +119 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a three-run 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored three times in the bottom of the first.

Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits. Romy Gonzalez had a big game at the plate, going 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

After taking two of three from the Royals, the Red Sox come into today’s game with a 61-52 record, placing them 3rd in the AL East, 5.5 games behind the Orioles. They have won three straight series and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, Boston’s O/U record is 7-8. Their games have had an average of 9.7 runs per game this season, and the over has hit in six straight games. The Red Sox are 34-25 vs. the run line as underdogs and 21-34 at home.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Right-hander Tanner Houck is starting for the Red Sox today and comes into the game with a record of 8-8 and an ERA of 3.09. This year, he has made 22 starts and 22 appearances. Houck has one complete game shutout and 15 quality starts this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in three straight starts. The last time he didn’t give up a homer was on July 11th. He has given up a homer in three straight outings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top hitter this season, batting .304 with a team-high 25 home runs and 70 RBIs. Devers has been even better of late, going 16/42 in his last 10 games with two homers and six RBIs. Jarren Duran is also having a good season, batting .292 with 14 homers and 58 RBIs.

As a team, the Red Sox are the top OPS team in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in batting average, slugging percentage, and isolated power. Overall, they are averaging 5 runs per game (4th) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Astros vs Red Sox Prediction

Our prediction for this Astros vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -130. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, which gives us a little wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Houck is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him as the 15th best among starters today. As for Ronel Blanco, his projected strikeout total is at five, which has him at 19th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.