The Houston Astros (40-40) travel to face off against the New York Mets (39-39) on Friday, June 28th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on APLTV. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Astros vs Mets

The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 7-1 win. After allowing one run to the Rockies in the top of the first, the Astros responded with a run of their own. Houston went on to add another run in the 4th inning and put things out of reach with a 4-run 7th.

Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out 10 Rockies batters. Offensively, the Astros scored their seven runs on json11 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Houston is looking to get above .500 today, as they come into the game with a record of 40-40. The Astros have won seven straight games, and they are 4.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West. This season, they have gone 15-12 in divisional games.

At home, the Astros have gone 24-19 this season compared to 16-21 on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 31-32 this season and 9-8 as the underdog. They have won two straight games as the road favorite and have an overall series record of 14-11-1 this season.

When the Astros are on the road, they are 16-21 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is -0.5 runs per game. However, they have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 5-0 against the run line in their last five games overall.

The Houston Astros are on the road against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 28-48. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-13. Overall, 40.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Ronel Blanco Gets The Start For The Astros

Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 8-2. Blanco’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.34, along with a WHIP of .97. In his 14 appearances, Blanco has turned in nine quality starts and has one complete game shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Blanco went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts.

Astros Offense Breakdown

The Astros come into the game as the league’s top hitting team, batting a collective .263. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best team slugging percentage in the league. So far, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ best power hitter this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 16 homers and is batting .288. Kyle Tucker is right behind him with 19 homers and is 2nd on the team with 40 RBIs. Tucker has also been one of the Astros’ top on-base threats, as his OBP is at .395. Jose Altuve has a team-high 35 RBIs and is on a three-game hitting streak.

New York is coming off a big 12-2 win over the Yankees to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +108 on the money line. It was a three-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score two runs, both of which came in the 6th.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. Francisco Alvarez was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Mets are at an even 39-39 this season, and they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York will host the Astros today, having won three straight games. Their three-game winning streak has come at home, taking the final game of their series vs. the Braves and then sweeping a two-game series vs. the Yankees.

As the home underdog, the Mets are 6-10 this year, and they are 19-20 as the underdog overall. New York has been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 20-19. They have won seven straight games as the underdog, and they are 20-23 at home compared to 19-16 on the road. The Mets’ overall series record is 13-12-3, and they have won six straight series overall and four straight on the road.

The Mets have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 37-41 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 21-14. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 24-15, compared to 13-26 as a favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.2 in losing games.

The New York Mets are playing at home against the Houston Astros today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 40-36. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-9. Overall, 19.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current over streak is at 2 games.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Cubs on June 21st, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, Quintana has given up three earned runs in three straight outings. So far this season, he has made 15 starts, and his record is 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA. Opponents are batting .255 off Quintana this season. The left-hander has a WHIP of 1.32 and has issued 2.97 walks per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/27 with four homers over his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .242 and is the Mets’ leader in RBIs, with 46. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the Mets’ leaders in homers, with 16 and 13, respectively. Lindor is batting .246 this season, and Alonso is at .241.

As a team, the Mets are 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are the league’s 4th ranked home run-hitting team and have the 7th best team batting average in the MLB.

Astros vs Mets Prediction

Our prediction for this Astros vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -105. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jose Quintana finishing with five strikeouts, and he is projected to finish with the second-fewest earned runs among today’s starters.

As for Ronel Blanco, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has a good chance of picking up a win. However, we have him finishing with the 16th best ERA among today’s starters.

Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits compared to the Astros with nine. However, the Mets have a higher projected home run total, with the Astros finishing with the third-fewest in our projections.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.