The Houston Astros (40-41) travel to face off against the New York Mets (40-39) on Saturday, June 29th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on WPIX. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Astros vs Mets
New York picked up a 7-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -110.
Jose Quintana only went four innings for the Mets but gave up just two earned runs and struck out seven. He did not factor in the decision, as Dedniel Nunez got the win out of the bullpen. Ronel Blanco had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.
Jeff McNeil and Tyrone Taylor each homered for the Mets, while Pete Alonso went 1/4 with three RBIs. Francisco Lindor also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Houston is 40-41 overall and trails the Mariners by 5.5 games in the AL West. The Astros are on a five-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 31-32 when favored this year. As for their record as the road favorite, they are just 10-16 this year. So far, they have gone 16-22 on the road compared to 24-19 at home.
The Astros have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, and they are looking to bounce back from a series-opening loss to the Mets. This year, they have an overall series record of 14-11-1, and they have won four straight series.
The Astros have a run line record of 38-43 this season, and they have covered the run line in five straight games. They are 22-21 against the run line at home and 16-22 on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.3, but it is +1.1 at home and -0.6 on the road. As the favorite, they are 28-35 against the run line, while they are 10-8 as the underdog. In their wins, their average run margin is +4.0, while in their losses, it is -3.3.
The Astros are on the road today against the Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Houston’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-48. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-7-2. Overall, 65.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros
Framber Valdez is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Orioles and picked up the win. In that June 23rd start, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on six hits. Looking back further, he has turned in a complete game this year and has eight quality starts. Valdez’s overall record is 6-5, and his ERA is 3.68, along with a WHIP of 1.20. So far, he has made six starts on the road, going 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA. At home, his record is 3-2 with a 4.46 ERA.
Astros Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Astros are the league’s best hitting team, with a team batting average of .264. They are also 1st in the league in fewest strikeouts per game and have the league’s top on-base percentage. Houston’s offense has been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 4.6 runs per game.
Jose Altuve has been hot of late, going 14/41 in his last nine games, with two home runs. Overall, he is batting .304 and is 3rd on the team with 36 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s top power threat, with 16 homers and a team-leading 41 RBIs. Kyle Tucker also has 19 homers, which is 7th best in the league.
The Mets are 40-39 overall and have won four straight games, and they are 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups. New York took the first game of the series vs. the Astros and has an overall series record of 13-12-3. The Mets have won six straight series.
At home, the Mets are 21-23 this season and 19-16 on the road. As the home underdog, the Mets are 6-10 this season, and they are 19-20 as the underdog overall. New York’s overall record as the favorite is 21-19.
The Mets are 38-41 on the run line this season, including a 17-27 mark at home. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 21-14. The Mets have won five straight games on the run line at home, and they are 24-15 on the run line as an underdog this season.
The Mets have been playing in high-scoring games lately, as their last three games have gone over the total. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-36. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit at a 9-4 clip. Overall, 44.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, while 39.2% have had lower lines.
Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Astros, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs. In that June 22nd start, Megill took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just three innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Megill has given up at least two homers in each outing. For the season, he has made seven starts, has a record of 2-4, and his ERA is 4.81. Opposing batters are hitting .229 off Megill this year. One positive note is that he has a WHIP of 1.43 and is averaging 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
At 4.8 runs per game, the Mets have the 6th best scoring offense in the league this season. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and they are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the MLB.
Brandon Nimmo has been one of the Mets’ top hitters this season, leading the team in RBIs (46) and is 3rd on the team with 12 homers. Over his last nine games, he has gone 10/33 (.303) with five home runs. Francisco Alvarez is also on a hot streak, going 16/29 in his last nine games.
Astros vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Mets matchup is to take the Astros on the money line, with the payout being -118. We have the Astros winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Astros with a run line bet, as we have them winning by just one run.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tylor Megill finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the third lowest among today’s starters. As for Framber Valdez, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and the Astros are projected to finish with 11 as a team.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 29, 2024 Astros, Mets