The Houston Astros (81-68) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (85-65) on Monday, September 16th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Astros vs. Padres Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Padres (-139)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• Padres have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
• Padres have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
• Padres have a home record of 40-35, while the Astros have an away record of 39-36.
• Padres have won 6 out of their last 10 home games.
• Padres have a current winning streak of 3 games.

Astros vs Padres

The Astros Are Coming Off A Win

Houston closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 6-4 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -202. Offensively, the Astros scored their six runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.

Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Angels batters. Jason Heyward was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Today, the Astros are on the road to face the Padres, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Houston’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and they have gone over the total in 61.1% of their games. The Astros have won four straight games and currently lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners.

As the road underdog, the Astros have won three straight games and have a 15-14 record in that spot this season. Overall, they are 63-49 when favored. Against the run line on the road, Houston has a 42-33 record, including a three-game run line win streak. Their average run differential on the road is +0.2 runs per game, but in their victories, they are winning by an average of 3.7 runs per game.

Spencer Arrighetti Gets The Start For The Astros

Houston is sending right-hander Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-12 with an ERA of 4.72. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.42. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins was a shutout performance vs. the Phillies, where he went 7 2/3 innings. Opponents are batting .240 vs. Arrighetti this season.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top hitter this season, leading the team with a .308 batting average and 34 home runs. His 84 RBIs are also the best on the team. Jose Altuve is batting .301 this season and is 3rd on the team with 63 RBIs. Alex Bregman has 23 homers this season, which is the 2nd most on the team, but he is hitting just .256.

Alvarez has gone deep twice in his last six games, but overall, he is batting just .240 in that stretch. Jason Heyward has gone 5/11 in his last five games, including two homers. Heyward is also on a three-game hitting streak, as are Jon Singleton, Victor Caratini, and Jeremy Pena.

The Padres Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Giants, the Padres closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line. It was a big 10th inning for the Padres, as they scored two runs in the top of the 10th to pick up the win. San Francisco’s offense scored their only three runs in the 4th.

Martin Perez put together a good start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by Fernando Tatis Jr., who went 1/1 with a homer and two RBIs.

San Diego is coming off a three-game winning streak and is 3.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have an overall series record of 29-15-6 this season, and their games have gone over the total 80 times, averaging 9.0 runs per game.

On the road, the Padres have been strong on the run line with a 47-28 record, but they are 29-46 against the run line at home. As favorites, they have a 55-41 straight-up record and are 40-35 at home and 45-30 on the road this season.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today and is coming off a solid outing against the Mariners, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back further, Darvish has been a bit up and down. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA. Darvish has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.72 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed nine homers and is averaging 2.39 walks per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 4.99 compared to 2.25 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into the game with the league’s best batting average at .265 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Over the team’s last eight games, Luis Arraez has been on fire, going 18/37 with nine runs scored. For the season, he is batting .322 and has gone deep four times. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have also been key run producers for the Padres, with Machado leading the team with 98 RBIs and Merrill sitting 2nd on the team with 85 runs batted in.

Astros vs Padres Prediction

We like the Padres to pick up a win at home, and with the money line payout at -139, this is the bet we recommend. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, and with the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts, which is better than his projections for Spencer Arrighetti, who we have finishing with six K’s. Offensively, the Padres lineup is projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Astros with seven.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.