Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 7/3/2024

The Houston Astros (43-42) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (39-46) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on None. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-108)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, indicating strong offensive potential.
  • Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 home games, showing a strong home-field advantage.
  • Blue Jays have a recent win against the Astros, scoring 7 runs on July 2nd.
  • Astros have lost 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a recent struggle in performance.
  • Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (21-22) compared to the Astros’ away win percentage (19-23).

Astros vs Blue Jays

houston astros nba

Toronto picked up a 7-6 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Astros, they scored five of their six runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -115.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Spencer Arrighetti for the Astros, and he went just four innings while giving up six runs and took the loss. Jose Berrios only went five innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just one earned run and got the win.

Toronto’s offense was led by Yordan Alvarez, who went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs. George Springer also hit a home run for the Blue Jays. As for the Astros, Jose Altuve went 3/5 with an RBI.

As the favorite, the Astros have a 32-32 record straight up and a 29-35 record against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and six straight overall. Houston has an average run margin of +0.4, with a +1.1 run differential at home and a -0.3 run differential on the road.

Overall, the Astros are 43-42 and are 3.0 games behind the Mariners in the AL West. They have won six straight games as the favorite and are 15-12 in divisional matchups this season. Houston has won five straight series and has an overall series record of 15-11-1.

Ronel Blanco Gets The Start For The Astros

Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 8-3. Blanco’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.49, along with a WHIP of 1.01. In his 15 appearances, Blanco has one complete game shutout and nine quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Blanco took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, Blanco has been much better on the road, going 5-1 with a 2.41 ERA compared to 3-2 with a 2.86 ERA at home.

Astros Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Astros are the top hitting team in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game and batting a collective .263. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Houston has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are the league’s top-ranked team in this category. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s best team slugging percentage.

Jose Altuve has been red hot of late, going 13/31 in his last seven games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .308 and is 2nd on the team with 38 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are the Astros’ top power threats, with Alvarez leading the team with 18 homers and Tucker right behind him with 19. Alvarez also has a team-high 46 RBIs.

Overall, the Blue Jays have a 39-46 record and are 5th in the AL East, 15 games behind the Orioles. They have a 21-22 record at home and 18-24 on the road. Against the run line, they are 24-18 on the road and 15-28 at home.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.9 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs this season, resulting in a 40-42 over/under record. The O/U record for games with an 8.5 run line is 11-16.

Yusei Kikuchi Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Astros at home. Kikuchi has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 4.18. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.48 strikeouts per nine innings. Kikuchi has had a rough go of it lately, as he has taken the loss in three straight outings. In his last start, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. The Blue Jays will be hoping he can turn things around today.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

Over the Blue Jays’ last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 16/38 with five homers and 19 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .298 with 13 homers and 50 RBIs, which is 13th best in the league. Daulton Varsho is second on the team with 11 homers but is batting just .195.

As a team, the Blue Jays are 23rd in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a bit better on the road (4.1 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). Overall, they are batting .235, which is 18th in the MLB, and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. Toronto comes into the game with a team batting average of .312.

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction

With the Blue Jays at home and on the money line at -108, this is the best way to play this one. We have the Blue Jays taking this one 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5. We do have this one going over, but we like the Blue Jays’ money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Yusei Kikuchi has a better chance of picking up a win than Ronel Blanco. Blanco is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the third-worst among starting pitchers today. Kikuchi is projected to finish with six strikeouts.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.