Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 7/26/2024

The Seattle Mariners (53-51) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (27-78) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on NBCS. Both the Mariners and White Sox are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Mariners vs. White Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: White Sox (+136)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The White Sox have a higher home win percentage (17 home wins) compared to the Mariners’ away win percentage (22 away wins).
  • The White Sox have scored an average of 3.2 runs per game in their last 15 games, compared to the Mariners’ 2.8 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • The White Sox have won 2 out of their last 3 home games, showing a recent improvement in home performance.
  • The White Sox have a head-to-head win against the Mariners in their last encounter, winning 3-2 on June 13th.
  • The Mariners are currently on a 3-game losing streak, indicating a recent downturn in their performance.

Mariners vs White Sox

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The White Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 2-1 loss to the Angels, Luis Castillo was excellent on the mound, allowing no runs while pitching six innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Mitch Haniger, going 1/3 with a homer.

Gregory Santos took the loss out of the bullpen for the Mariners, as Seattle allowed two runs in the top of the 8th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Mariners were at -168 at home.

Seattle is 53-51 overall and trails the Astros by one game in the AL West. The Mariners are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes dropping the final three games of their series vs. the Angels. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2, while in losing games, it’s -3.1.

On the run line, Seattle is 22-28 on the road and 45-59 overall. Their games have averaged 7.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 42-57. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and their last three games have gone under the total.

George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today as he faces the White Sox on the road. Kirby has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 3.20. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of .98 and has turned in 14 quality starts. In his 21 outings, he has only allowed 11 home runs. Kirby most recently pitched on July 20th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .216 this season, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game (3.8), on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. However, they do have the 12th most home runs in the league. One thing that has hurt the Mariners’ offense is that they are averaging 10 strikeouts per game, which is the worst mark in the league.

Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .263 with 11 homers and 37 RBIs. Catcher Cal Raleigh has 20 homers this season, but he is batting just .210. Mitch Garver has also struggled at the plate, with a batting average of just .168.

The White Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 2-1 loss. Chicago was the +211 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored in the bottom of the third.

Chicago started Jonathan Cannon, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. The White Sox offense scored only one run on five hits and didn’t have any timely hitting as they only run came in the 3rd inning.

Chicago’s struggles have been evident in their 11-game losing streak, including a sweep by the Rangers in their recent series. They are currently 5th in the AL Central, 35.5 games behind the Guardians.

When it comes to the run line, the White Sox have a 47-58 record, including a 24-27 mark at home and 23-31 on the road. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs, with a 45-56 over/under record. Heading into today’s game, the White Sox have failed to cover the run line in three straight games at home.

Drew Thorpe Gets The Start For The White Sox

Chicago is sending right-hander Drew Thorpe to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA. Thorpe’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his 38 2/3 innings of work, he has given up four homers and is averaging 5.59 strikeouts per nine innings. One of his best outings of the year came vs. the Marlins on July 5th, where he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Thorpe has not lost a game since June 23rd.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. This is the worst mark in the league. They have also been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league, and are batting just .217 as a team. Their on-base percentage of .277 is the worst in the league.

Paul DeJong has been the White Sox’s top power threat this season, with his 17 homers being the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 38 RBIs. Andrew Vaughn has gone deep 11 times this season and is the team’s top run producer, with 44 RBIs. Vaughn is batting just .234 for the season, and DeJong is at .223. Over his last eight games, Andrew Benintendi is hitting just .231, but he does have two homers in that stretch.

Mariners vs White Sox Prediction

Our prediction for this Mariners vs. White Sox matchup is to go with the White Sox on the money line, as they are currently sitting at +136. With a White Sox win, we also have the game going over, as we have the final score being 4-1 in favor of the White Sox.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have George Kirby finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters. As for Drew Thorpe, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is 20th among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.