Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/10/2024

The Seattle Mariners (50-43) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (49-46) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Mariners vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-139)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Padres have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • Padres have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games.
  • Padres have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record.
  • Padres have a .500 record (5-5) in their last 10 games, compared to the Mariners’ 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
  • Padres have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 5 home games.

Mariners vs Padres

seattle mariners nba

Seattle cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -140 on the money line.

Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Adam Mazur only went 4 2/3 innings for the Padres, giving up five earned runs on seven hits.

At the plate, the Mariners were led by Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez. Raleigh went 3/5 with two homers, while Rodriguez also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. Jake Cronenworth hit the game’s other home run for the Padres, going 1/4.

Seattle has an even run differential on the road this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while allowing 4.5. Against the run line, they are 20-25 on the road and 22-26 at home. The over has hit in three straight games for the Mariners, and their O/U record in games with a total of 7.5 runs is 11-15.

The Mariners are 50-43 overall and hold a two-game lead over the Astros in the AL West. As favorites, they are 32-24 straight up, but as underdogs, they are 18-19. Seattle has won two consecutive games, both on the road, heading into today’s matchup against the Padres.

Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners

Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.85. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.08 and opponents are batting .211 this season. In his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He has given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 17 home runs are 1st on the team and 10th in the MLB. However, his batting average is just .210. Over his last eight games, he has three home runs and is batting .273. Julio Rodriguez is batting .256 for the season and has gone deep nine times.

Seattle’s offense is batting just .218 for the season, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs scored and have the most strikeouts in the MLB. Overall, they are averaging 3.8 runs per game.

San Diego’s games have been high-scoring this season, with an average of 9.1 runs per game, and the over/under record for Padres games is 52-42. Their games have gone over the total in four straight, and when the O/U line is 7.5, the over has hit in 16 of 31 games. Against the run line, the Padres are 31-14 on the road but just 18-32 at home.

The Padres are 49-46 overall and have lost three straight, putting them 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They have an overall series record of 17-11-3 and have won two straight series on the road.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 3.51. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .228 off him. King has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.29 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last two outings. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 2nd in batting average and 7th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in homers, respectively. Profar’s 59 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Over his last 10 games, Manny Machado has four homers and is hitting .262. Luis Arraez has gone 13/43 in his last 10 games and is batting .309 for the season.

Mariners vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Padres matchup is that the Padres will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking to place a bet on the money line, the Padres at -139 is a great pick, as we have them winning this one straight up.

Looking at the starting pitcher matchups, we have Michael King finishing with six strikeouts compared to Bryce Miller, who we have finishing with four. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Padres win with King finishing with six K’s.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.