The Miami Marlins (30-53) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (54-29) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Marlins vs Phillies
Miami rallied for two runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Phillies series. The Marlins scored one run in the 2nd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 7th, picking up a 3-2 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +213 on the money line.
Philadelphia wasted a good outing from Aaron Nola, as he gave up just three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Nola took the loss in the game. Miami’s Andrew Nardi got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.
Roddery Muñoz only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He didn’t factor into the decision. Nick Gordon and Otto Lopez each had two hits and an RBI for Miami’s offense.
Miami is 30-53 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they are 24.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 7-18 in divisional games. The Marlins have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies and lead the series 2-1.
At home, the Marlins are 16-27 this season, and they are 14-26 on the road. This year, Miami has really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 27-41.
When betting the run line on the Marlins this season, it’s been best to take them as the underdog. They are 35-33 against the run line in those games, compared to 1-14 when favored. Their overall run line record is 36-47, and they are 20-20 against the run line on the road. Their average run differential in their wins is +2.7, while in their losses, it’s -3.9.
When the Miami Marlins are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 42-40. The over/under line for their games this season has averaged 8 runs, and they have played 13 games with a higher line than 8.5 runs. Their games have gone under the line in two straight contests.
Yonny Chirinos Gets The Start For The Marlins
Yonny Chirinos and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Phillies. In his first two starts of the season, Chirinos has gone 5 innings in each, giving up 1 earned run in his first start and 2 earned runs in his second start. He has 11 strikeouts in 10 innings of work.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .230, which is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage.
Over his last six games, Otto Lopez has gone 8/22 for the Marlins, but he has yet to homer during this stretch. Nick Gordon is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he has a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 6/20 in his last five games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the Marlins’ top hitter in terms of batting average, coming in at .260, and he is also 2nd on the team with 10 homers.
Philadelphia will take on the Marlins at home today with an overall record of 54-29, and they lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 13-8 against other teams in the NL East this season. So far, they have gone 32-14 at home compared to 22-15 on the road.
The Phillies have dropped two of the first three games in this series vs. the Marlins. Currently, they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 48-23 this year, and they are 31-12 when favored at home. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-7-4 and have won three straight series.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, as they are 44-39 overall. They have been particularly good at home, going 24-22 on the run line. The Phillies’ average run margin this season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have a +1.8 run differential in their home games. As the favorite, they are 38-33 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are 6-6.
The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 35-43 this season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-10. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs, and 59% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 8.5-run total. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last two games.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 10-2 and an ERA of 1.83. So far, he has made 16 starts and 16 appearances. Suárez has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Suárez has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.59.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia has been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, as they are 5th in runs per game (5) and are the league’s top-scoring team when playing at home. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. The Phillies also do a good job of getting on base, as they are 2nd in OBP and 5th in walks.
Over his last four games, Brandon Marsh has gone 5/11 for the Phillies, including one home run and four RBIs. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Bohm having gone 4/13 in his last three games and Harper 4/13. Harper is also on a 12-game hitting streak.
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. However, with their money line sitting at -250, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. You can get the over at -105, and with the Phillies’ offense projected to finish with just eight hits, we see the Marlins being able to keep this one close.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Yonny Chirinos is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Ranger Suarez at five as well. However, Suarez is projected to finish with a better ERA, and with the Phillies’ offense projected to finish with the worst in the league in home runs, we would recommend stacking them in DFS.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 30, 2024 Marlins, Phillies