The Miami Marlins (32-61) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (45-49) on Friday, July 12th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Marlins vs. Reds Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Reds (-157)
• Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs

• The Reds have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
• The Reds have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
• The Reds have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
• The Marlins have lost 8 out of their last 10 games, showing a downward trend.
• The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 20 runs in their last 5 home games.

Marlins vs Reds

The Reds Took The Last Game Of This Series

Miami closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 6-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the +153 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Astros scored twice in the bottom of the first.

Rodder Muñoz had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. The Marlins also wasted a big game from Bryan De La Cruz, who went 3/4 with a homer and a run scored.

Miami has struggled recently, losing three straight games and going 2-8 in their last 10. They are 32-61 overall and trail the Phillies by 29 games in the NL East. The Marlins have a -1.6 run differential per game this season.

As underdogs, the Marlins are 28-48 straight up and 39-37 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 49-42. The over/under record for games with a 9.5 run line is 1-3.

Yonny Chirinos Gets The Start For The Marlins

Yonny Chirinos will be on the mound for the Marlins as they take on the Reds in Cincinnati. Chirinos has made 4 starts this season, and he has yet to record a win. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 6 hits, but he did strike out 5 batters.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 2.9 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just 17th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage.

Over his last six games, Jesús Sánchez has gone 6/20 with two homers and three RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also hit two homers in his last seven games, but he is just 6/28 during that stretch. Bryan De La Cruz comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .247 for the season with a team-high 44 RBIs.

The Reds Are Coming Off A Win

Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Rockies with an impressive 8-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -201. Offensively, the Reds scored their eight runs on 14 hits and only hit three home runs.

Hunter Greene put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out 10 Rockies batters. Tyler Stephenson was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with two homers and five RBIs.

Cincinnati is 45-49 overall and currently sits in 4th place in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by nine games. The Reds have a series record of 10-17-3 this season and have been a strong bet on the run line, going 51-43. Their average run margin per game is +0.3.

When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Reds have a 15-8 O/U record. The over has hit in 5 of the 15 games this season with the total set at 9.5 runs. Looking at the season, their over/under record is 41-49, and the over has hit in three straight games for Cincinnati.

Carson Spiers Gets The Start For The Reds

Reds starter Carson Spiers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he took the loss in that July 5th start. Against the Tigers, he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Spiers has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. His ERA for the season is 3.64, along with a record of 2-2. Opponents are batting .257 vs. Spiers this season. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 6.86 strikeouts per nine innings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds most consistent power threats this season, as De La Cruz leads the team with 15 homers and Steer is right behind him with 14. De La Cruz is batting .250 for the season, and Steer is at .245. Steer has been hot of late, going 10/36 in his last 10 games with four homers and eight RBIs.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .230 this season and are one of the worst teams in the league in terms of striking out. Currently, Tyler Stephenson and Austin Wynns are on good hitting streaks for the Reds, with Stephenson having gone 10/34 in his last nine games.

Marlins vs Reds Prediction

Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at -157. We actually have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Carson Spiers of the Reds is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among all starters today. As for Yonny Chirinos, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 12th.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.