The Miami Marlins (27-51) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (43-37) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on BSKC. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Marlins vs Royals
Thanks to a three-run 4th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -256 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Roddery Muñoz for the Marlins, and he went six innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Cole Ragans put together a good outing for the Royals, getting the win after going six innings and giving up just one earned run.
Kansas City got a big performance from Salvador Perez, as he went 1/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Hunter Renfroe and Vinnie Pasquantino each drove in a run for the Royals’ offense.
Miami is 27-51 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 25 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 5-17. The Marlins are on a six-game losing streak on the road, and they are 11-24 as the road underdog this year.
At home, the Marlins are just 16-27 this year. Miami has had a tough time as the favorite this year, going 3-12, including losing the first game of this series as the favorite. Their overall series record is 7-17-1, but they had won two straight series before dropping the series opener vs. the Royals.
The Marlins have a run line record of 33-45 overall, including a 17-18 mark on the road. They have a run line record of 32-31 as the underdog and are 1-14 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.9, while it is -3.9 in losses.
When the Miami Marlins are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs just three times, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the Marlins have played to the over in 41 of their 77 games this season, and their games have averaged eight runs per game.
Yonny Chirinos Gets The Start For The Marlins
Yonny Chirinos will be on the mound for the Marlins today in their road matchup against the Royals. Chirinos started his season with a no-decision vs. the Cardinals, going 5 innings and allowing 2 earned runs on 8 hits.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231, and their team ISO of .120 is the worst in the league. Miami’s home run total of 63 is also the worst in the league.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 10 homers and De La Cruz right behind him with 14. De La Cruz has gone deep three times in his last eight games while batting .294 over that stretch. Chisholm Jr. comes into the game with a team-high batting average of .264.
Kansas City is 43-37 overall this season, and they are nine games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals are 13-9 against other teams in the AL Central. They took the first game of this series vs. the Marlins and have lost seven of their last ten games overall.
At home, the Royals are 26-14 this year and 17-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 21-11 this year and 22-26 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 11-13-1, and they have dropped four straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Royals have been a solid bet this season, going 45-35 overall. They are 24-16 against the run line at home and 21-19 on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, and they have a run line win streak of two games at home. As the underdog, they have been particularly strong, going 29-19 against the run line.
When the Kansas City Royals play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs for their game against the Miami Marlins. The combined run average for Royals home games this season is 8.6 runs per game. The Royals’ over/under record for the season is 34-43, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. This season, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for six games, and the over/under record in those games is 4-2. The under has hit in three straight games for the Royals.
Seth Lugo Gets The Start For The Royals
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and comes in with a record of 10-2 and an ERA of 2.42. So far, he has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting .225 this season. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is 1.07, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Lugo finished with a no-decision against the Athletics, giving up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Lugo’s ERA on the road is 2.04 compared to 3.16 at home.
Royals Offense Breakdown
Bobby Witt Jr. has been the Royals’ best hitter this season, batting .312 with 12 homers and 53 RBIs, which is 7th in the league. Salvador Perez also has 12 homers and is batting .280. Vinnie Pasquantino and Nelson Velázquez are both tied for 2nd on the team with 8 homers, but Pasquantino is batting just .231, and Velázquez is hitting only .200.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.4 runs per contest. However, they have been one of the worst road offenses in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Kansas City comes into the game with the league’s 12th best batting average and are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
Marlins vs Royals Prediction
Getting the Marlins at +168 on the money line is a great value pick, and according to our projections, they will come out on top with a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and we have this game going over.
Looking at some potential player props, Yonny Chirinos is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing around the middle of the pack compared to other starters. As for Seth Lugo, his strikeout projection is also five, but we have him finishing with the ninth fewest among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Marlins, Royals