Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 9/11/2024

The Miami Marlins (54-91) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-76) on Wednesday, September 11th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.

Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Pirates (-178)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Pirates have won 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The Pirates have a 3-game winning streak.
  • The Pirates have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • The Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Marlins vs Pirates

miami marlins nba

Pittsburgh picked up a 6-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 5th and added their final three runs in the 9th.

Joey Wentz got the win for the Pirates out of the bullpen, while Aroldis Chapman got the save. Adam Oller took the loss for Miami as the starter.

Andrew McCutchen hit the game’s only home run while going 1/2 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Bryan Reynolds also had a two-hit game for Pittsburgh.

Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games. The Marlins are 66-61 against the run line as an underdog this season compared to just 2-16 as a favorite. Their overall run line record is 68-77, with an average scoring margin of -1.3 runs per game.

Currently, the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a 54-91 record, 33 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. They are down 0-2 in their series vs. the Pirates and have lost two straight games. Miami’s straight-up record is 16-29, putting them 16 games below .500.

Jonathan Bermúdez Gets The Start For The Marlins

Jonathan Bermúdez will be making his first start of the season for the Marlins, as he has made two appearances out of the bullpen so far. In his first outing, he went one inning and gave up one run on one hit. He followed that up with a 3 2/3 inning outing, where he struck out three and gave up two runs on six hits.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

Currently, the Marlins are the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 12th in the league, and have the 17th worst strikeout rate in the league.

Jake Burger is the Marlins’ top power threat, as he is 15th in the league with 25 home runs this season. He also leads the team with 61 RBIs. Over his last four games, Connor Norby has gone 5/17 with three homers, and Otto Lopez is hitting .476 over his last five games.

With a 69-76 record, the Pirates are 14.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They have won three straight games and lead the Marlins 2-0 in their current series. Pittsburgh’s run line record is 80-65, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.

As favorites, the Pirates are 32-26 straight up and 37-37 vs. the run line at home. Their over/under record for games with an 8.5 run total is 30-22, and their overall O/U record is 72-71.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Nationals. In that September 5th start, he went 5 innings, picked up the win, and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Falter has finished with a no-decision in two straight starts. He has a record of 7-7 this season and an ERA of 4.45. Opposing batters are hitting .263 off Falter this season. The left-hander has made 24 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Falter’s ERA at home is 4.83 compared to 5.43 on the road.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

Coming into the game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .236, and as a team, they are 22nd in the league in home runs. One area where they have been good is avoiding strikeouts, as they are 26th in the league in strikeouts per game.

Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .277 and a team-leading 83 RBIs. He also has 22 homers, which is the top mark on the team. Andrew McCutchen is also near the top of the Pirates’ home run leaderboard, with 20 homers this season. McCutchen has gone 5/14 in his last four games, with two homers and four RBIs.

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Pirates vs. Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Pirates. However, we are actually recommending taking the over, as there is a lot of value in the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, we would take the Pirates, but with a payout of -178, we think there is better value on the over. Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Falter is predicted to finish with just four strikeouts, and we have him finishing with the 14th most among starters today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.