Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9/22/2024

The Minnesota Twins (81-73) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (76-78) on Sunday, September 22nd. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-135)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Twins have won 5 of their last 10 games, showing a balanced performance.
  • In their last 15 games, the Twins have scored 4 or more runs in 10 games, indicating consistent offensive production.
  • The Twins have a better overall away record (39-40) compared to the Red Sox’s home record (35-41).
  • The Twins have won their last game against the Red Sox, scoring 4 runs and allowing only 2.
  • The Twins have a positive run differential in their last 5 wins, outscoring opponents 33-12.

Twins vs Red Sox

minnesota twins nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Red Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Red Sox and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win.

Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Red Sox could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 7th and added some insurance with three runs in the 12th. Heading into the 7th, the Twins had been held in check, scoring-wise, as they had just one run on five hits.

David Festa got the start for the Twins, going five innings while giving up just one run and striking out six. He did walk three batters and finished with a pitch count of 95. Scott Blewett got the win out of the bullpen, and Griffin Jax got the save.

Minnesota is currently in 3rd place in the AL Central with an 81-73 record, 8 games behind the Guardians. They have a series record of 26-19-4 but have lost their last two series. The Twins have an average run differential of +0.2 runs per game and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, resulting in a 77-71 O/U record.

As favorites, the Twins have a 64-43 record, but as underdogs, they are 17-30. On the run line, they are 40-39 on the road and 72-82 overall. Minnesota’s games have had an O/U line of 7.5 runs in 64.3% of their matchups, with a 19-18 O/U record when the total is 7.5 runs.

Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins

Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 15-8 with an ERA of 3.84. Looking at his overall numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.15 and opponents are batting .243 this season. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. López has been pitching well lately, as he has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last seven outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power hitter this season, as he leads the team with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs. However, he is batting just .238 for the season. Ryan Jeffers has also been a big power threat, as he has 20 homers and 62 RBIs, but he is batting only .228. Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .250 and has gone 5/17 with a homer over his last five games.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are 9th in the league in both team batting average and on-base percentage. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Currently, they have two players on three-game hitting streaks, with Royce Lewis and Austin Martin both coming into the game on a good stretch.

After losing two straight games, the Red Sox are 76-78 overall and trail the Yankees by 14.5 games in the AL East. They are currently in 4th place, just half a game behind the Rays. Boston’s run line record is 72-82, with a 28-48 mark at home and 44-34 on the road.

This season, the over/under record for Red Sox games is 75-71, with the average total runs per game being 9.3. The under has hit in their last three games, and only two games have had lower totals than today’s line of 7.5 runs.

Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Pivetta’s record for the season is 5-11, and he has an ERA of 4.37. Looking at his home/away splits, Pivetta has a record of 3-6 on the road with a 5.5 ERA. At home, he is 2-5 with a 5.07 ERA. Pivetta has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .229 this season.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

So far this season, the Red Sox have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 8th in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the MLB. They are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Boston is also one of the top run-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game. One of the reasons for their success has been their ability to make contact, as they are 26th in the league in strikeouts.

Over his past eight games, Trevor Story has gone 9/28 (.321) with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, Story is batting just .240, but he does have 23 home runs. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, with Devers leading the team with 83 RBIs and O’Neill’s 31 homers being the best mark on the team.

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Red Sox matchup is for the Twins to pick up the win on the road. We are taking the Twins on the money line, and the payout is at -135.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Pablo Lopez going 6 innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Nick Pivetta, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, but we have him going just five innings.

Offensively, the Twins lineup is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the third-most in the league today. The Twins are also projected to hit four home runs, which is fourth-best in the league.

For the Red Sox, they are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Twins, who are projected to finish with eight.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.