The Minnesota Twins (58-46) travel to face off against the New York Mets (55-50) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Twins vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-121)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 8 of their last 15 games, showing a positive trend in recent performance.
- The Mets have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games, indicating strong offensive production.
- The Mets have a home record of 28-28, while the Twins have an away record of 29-25, suggesting the Mets perform well at home.
- The Mets have won 6 of their last 8 home games, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage recently.
- The Mets have outscored their opponents by a total of 20 runs in their last 15 games, reflecting their ability to control games offensively.
Twins vs Mets
The Twins Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Tigers, the Twins closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -148. Offensively, the Twins scored their five runs on jsonly 12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Bailey Ober put together a good start for the Twins, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 11 Tigers batters. Willi Castro was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with two runs scored. The Twins also had three other players with two hits.
Minnesota is 21-11-2 in series play this season and has won two straight series. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and sit 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with a 58-46 record.
Against the run line, the Twins are 30-24 on the road and 20-30 at home. Their games have gone under the O/U line in 62.5% of the time, with an average of 9.2 runs per game. This season, their O/U record is 53-49 and when the total has been 8.5 runs, they are 13-14.
Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA. Woods Richardson most recently pitched on July 23rd, where he finished with a no-decision after going six innings and not giving up a run. In that outing, he gave up three hits, issued one walk, and gave up one homer. Woods Richardson has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. So far, he has made six quality starts this year.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players having gone deep 14 times this season. Jeffers is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 48, and is batting just .230. Carlos Correa is batting .308 for the Twins, and his 47 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Willi Castro is batting .263 and has gone deep seven times this season.
Max Kepler has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 9/30 in his last seven games. However, he has yet to hit a home run during this stretch. Byron Buxton has three homers in his last seven games but is just 5/26 in this stretch. As a team, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and are 8th in home runs.
The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series
Pete Alonso and the Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 9-2 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Braves scored four times in the 4th.
David Peterson took the loss for the Mets, going just five innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and issued three walks. The Mets’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning and finished with seven hits.
Today, the Mets are 55-50 overall and are 3rd in the NL East, 10 games behind the Phillies. They have a 20-16 record in divisional games and lost their last two games against the Braves. The Mets are 28-28 at home and 27-22 on the road, and their overall series record is 16-13-7.
When favored, the Mets have a 33-28 record and are 22-22 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs this season, resulting in a 56-46 over/under record. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and their 8.5-run line record is 18-11.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
New York starter Jose Quintana has made 20 appearances this season and has a record of 5-6 to go along with an ERA of 4.03. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.13 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Quintana picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Quintana’s ERA at home is 3.92 compared to 5.97 on the road.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are the 7th highest-scoring team in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .248, which is 9th in the MLB. Both their on-base percentage and slugging percentage are right around the league average.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Lindor leading the team with 22 homers, and Alonso is right behind him at 21. Lindor has gone 11/41 in his last 10 games, with five homers and 10 RBIs. Jeff McNeil has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/35 with four homers in his last 10 games.
Twins vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for the Mets vs. Twins is that the Mets will pick up a 6-5 win. With the money line sitting at -121, we see this as a great value, as the payout is solid, and we have the Mets winning this one straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is projected to go 5 innings and pick up five strikeouts. As for Simeon Woods Richardson, he is projected to go six innings and finish with six K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 29, 2024 Mets, Twins