Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 6/29/2024

The Minnesota Twins (45-37) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (47-37) on Saturday, June 29th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 9:10 CT.

Twins vs Mariners

minnesota twins nba

Seattle picked up a 3-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had just five hits in the game but took advantage of a two-run 6th inning for the Twins. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -130 on the money line.

Logan Gilbert started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Bailey Ober got the start for the Twins, going six innings and giving up one earned run.

Carlos Correa was the only player in the Twins lineup to have more than one hit. He went 2/4 with a home run. Josh Rojas did the most damage for the Mariners, going 2/4 with an RBI.

Minnesota is 45-37 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central, seven games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 15-11 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins dropped the first game of the series in Seattle and are 15-9-2 in series record this year.

At home, the Twins have gone 23-16 this year while posting a 22-21 record on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 36-20 this year, and they are 9-17 as the underdog. Minnesota’s two-game winning streak as the favorite is part of their overall mark of 17-7 as the road favorite.

Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 38-44 overall. They are 23-20 on the run line on the road and have covered in three straight games. The Twins’ average run differential is +0.4 runs per game, and they have been favored in 56 games this season, going 25-31 on the run line in those contests.

Today’s game between the Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners has an over/under line of 7.5 runs, which is lower than the combined run average for these teams this season, which is 9.2 runs per game. The Twins have a 39-41 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Twins are 10-10. Overall, 64.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins

Pablo López will be looking to build off his last start, where he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the Athletics, he went eight innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with 14 strikeouts in the game. Looking back at his overall numbers, López has made 16 starts, and his record for the season is 7-6. The right-hander’s ERA is 5.11, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Opposing batters are hitting .247 this season off López. For the year, he has turned in seven quality starts. Per nine innings, López is averaging 10.33 strikeouts and just 1.94 walks.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Twins are also 5th in the league in home runs and have the 4th best team slugging percentage in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 11th in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 13 homers are 1st on the team and 13th in the league. He also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Jeffers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/23 with three homers over his last six games. Willi Castro has also been hot of late, as he is on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .277 with seven homers for the season.

Seattle is 47-37 overall and leads the AL West by 5.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners have won two straight games, and they are 17-5 against other teams in the AL West. Seattle closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a win and took the first game of this series vs. the Twins.

At home, the Mariners are 28-12 this year, and they have gone 19-25 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners are 17-16 this year and 30-21 when favored. Seattle has won four straight games as the home team, and they are 6-2 as the home underdog this year. So far, their overall series record is 13-11-2, and they have lost three straight series.

Seattle has been a solid run line bet this year, going 40-44 overall. They have been even better at home, going 21-19 on the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 19-14 on the run line. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game.

Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and they have a 34-45 over/under record. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-15. In total, 40.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with the average line for their games set at 8 runs.

Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.90 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.04 and opponents are batting .201 this season. Miller’s last outing came on June 23rd vs. the Marlins, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Miller is that he has turned in eight quality starts this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.29 strikeouts and 2.63 walks.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

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Cal Raleigh is leading the Mariners in home runs this season, but he is batting just .201 overall and has gone 4/22 in his last eight games. Mitch Garver has also struggled of late, going 4/27 in his last eight games and is batting just .175 for the season. Garver does have 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .218, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, on-base percentage, and strikeouts. Overall, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per contest.

Twins vs Mariners Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Mariners game is to take the Mariners on the money line, with the payout being -102. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs. However, we see this one being a close game and would recommend sticking with the Mariners on the money line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.