Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 7/30/2024

The Washington Nationals (49-58) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (56-51) on Tuesday, July 30th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on MLBN. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-184)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have a home record of 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Nationals.
  • Diamondbacks have a league rank of 7th, while the Nationals are ranked 13th in their respective leagues.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks

washington nationals nba

Arizona rallied for five runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs. Nationals series. The Diamondbacks scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-8 win. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -166 on the money line.

Washington wasted a good outing from Mitchell Parker, as he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work for the Nationals. Kyle Finnegan took the loss. Joe Mantiply got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Jordan Montgomery went just four innings, giving up six earned runs.

Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Alex Call went deep for the Nationals. Marte, Carroll, and Geraldo Perdomo each had two hits and two RBIs for Arizona’s offense.

Washington is 49-58 overall and 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies. They have lost two in a row and trail the Diamondbacks 0-1 in the current series.

On the run line, the Nationals are 61-46 overall and 34-23 on the road. Their average run margin is -0.3, and they have covered the run line in four straight games and as underdogs. The O/U record in Nationals games with a 9.5 run total is 6-7, and only 5.6% of their games have had higher totals.

Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Corbin’s overall record this season is 2-10, and he has an ERA of 5.26. In 21 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.56 strikeouts per nine innings. Corbin has struggled on the road, coming in with a record of 1-6 and an ERA of 5.66. At home, his record is 1-4 with a 4.97 ERA. In his last outing, Corbin gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Over his last five games, Harold Ramirez has been on fire for the Nationals, going 9/17 with five runs scored and eight RBIs. During this stretch, he also hit one home run. CJ Abrams comes into the game as the Nationals’ leader in home runs, with 15, and RBIs, with 51. Abrams is batting .256 for the season and has the 3rd best on-base percentage on the team.

As a team, the Nationals are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a slightly better offensive team on the road this season. They are currently 23rd in home runs and have the league’s worst slugging percentage. Overall, their OPS of .683 is 21st in the MLB.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season with a 31-22 record, but they have struggled at home, going 24-30. The Diamondbacks have a 55-52 run line record overall and games have averaged 9.8 runs, going over the total in 57 of 104 games.

The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a 56-51 record, seven games behind the Dodgers. They have won four straight series and hold a 19-14 division record. Arizona is 29-25 at home and 27-26 on the road this season.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson is looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Royals, he gave up two homers. Nelson finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 4.85, along with a record of 7-6. Opponents are batting .292 off the right-hander this season. Looking back, he has made six quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Nelson is averaging 6.41 strikeouts and just 2.2 walks.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. This has been the case both at home and on the road, as they are 5th in road runs and 4th in home runs. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, with their 118 homers being 12th in the majors.

Both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been big run producers for the Diamondbacks this season, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in homers and are both among the league leaders in RBIs. Marte has been especially hot of late, going 11/28 with five homers over his last eight games.

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, as we see them coming away with a 5-4 win. However, with the Diamondbacks being -184 on the money line, we actually like the over/under line of 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Patrick Corbin finishing with five strikeouts compared to Ryne Nelson with four. If you’re looking for a player prop, Nelson’s strikeout line is a good place to start.

However, if you’re looking to stick with the team prediction, you could look to parlay a Diamondbacks win with a player prop, such as Nelson’s strikeout line.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.