Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6/30/2024

The Washington Nationals (39-43) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (41-42) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.

Nationals vs Rays

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Thanks to a six-run 7th inning for the Nationals’ offense, they cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +117 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Jake Irvin for the Nationals, and he went six innings while giving up just one run and one hit. Aaron Civale got the start for the Rays and went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits.

Washington’s offense was led by CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr., as they were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Abrams, Harold Ramirez, Keibert Ruiz, and Lane Thomas each had two RBIs for the Nationals’ lineup.

Washington is 39-43 overall this season, and they are 14.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games. The Nationals are on the road today, and they are 22-24 on the road compared to 17-19 at home.

As the road underdog, the Nationals have gone 18-21 this year, and they are 31-36 as the underdog overall. Washington’s overall series record is 11-14-1, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games. The Nationals really need to get things going, as they are 4th in the NL East, 14.5 games out of first place.

Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 48-34 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 28-18 against the run line. They are 41-26 against the run line as an underdog, but just 7-8 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.3 in losing games.

The Nationals are on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Washington’s games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-41. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-5-1. So far this season, 59.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 1-7 with an ERA of 5.46. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.53. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work. In that start, he didn’t give up a homer. Corbin has allowed at least one homer in each of his previous three outings.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been below average this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .237. However, they do have two hitters with an average above .280, including CJ Abrams, who has gone 11/25 in his last seven games while hitting two homers.

Abrams is also the team’s leader in homers (13) and RBIs (42) while batting .282 overall. Jesse Winker is also a player to watch, as he is hitting .259 for the season and is on a three-game hitting streak. Winker’s nine homers are the 2nd most on the team.

Tampa Bay is 41-42 overall and trails the Orioles by 12 games in the AL East. The Rays are 10-17 against other AL East teams this year. The Rays have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 13-11-2 this year.

At home, the Rays are 22-25 compared to 19-17 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 46 games, where they are 24-22. As the home favorite, the Rays are 16-16 this year. Tampa Bay has gone 7-3 across their last 10 games, and they will be hosting the Nationals today.

One of the most profitable teams in baseball this season has been the Tampa Bay Rays, who have a run line record of 37-46, including a 22-14 mark on the road. The Rays have been a good bet as the underdog, going 21-16 against the run line, while they have struggled as the favorite, going 16-30. Tampa Bay’s average run margin this season is -0.7, with an average run margin of -0.9 in home games and -0.5 on the road.

When the Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Tampa Bay is 42-37, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 10-9. This season, 41% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, while 36.1% have had lower lines.

Taj Bradley Gets The Start For The Rays

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today vs. the Nationals and comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and ERA of 3.81. So far this season, he has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .212 off the right-hander. Bradley’s WHIP for the season is 1.15, and he has turned in three quality starts. In his most recent outing, Bradley finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings vs. the Mariners and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had gone six innings in back-to-back starts.

Rays Offense Breakdown

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Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ best power hitter this season, as his 12 home runs lead the team and are 14th in the league. He is also batting a solid .269 and has a team-high 42 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has been a solid all-around hitter for the Rays, as he is batting .271 with seven homers and 40 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Diaz is 10/31 with two homers and six RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are batting just .235 and are averaging only 4 runs per game. This is a team that has struggled at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 25th in the league in scoring. Collectively, the Rays have the 24th slugging percentage in the league and are just 21st in isolated power.

Nationals vs Rays Prediction

At +154, we see the Nationals as a great value pick to win on the money line. Our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Nationals, giving us some room to take the Nationals on the money line or to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at some player props, we have Nationals starter Patrick Corbin finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing around the middle of the league in terms of starters. As for Rays starter Taj Bradley, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.