The New York Mets (88-72) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (88-72) on Monday, September 30th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Mets vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (+133)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored 10 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
- The Mets have won 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Mets have a 42-37 record in away games this season.
- The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Braves.
- The Mets have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.
Mets vs Braves
The Mets Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Mets closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -143 on the money line. It was a big first inning for the Mets, as they scored their first run of the game and added three more in the 4th.
David Peterson put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out eight Brewers batters. Francisco Lindor was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
As the favorite, the Mets have a 59-39 record this season, but they are 29-33 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 27-18-8, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. New York is currently six games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with an 88-72 overall record.
This season, Mets games have averaged 9 runs per game, and they have a 22-17 record in games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. Their run line record is above .500, with a 43-36 mark on the road and a 42-40 record at home. The under has hit in their last two games heading into today’s matchup with the Braves.
Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending right-hander Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 3.98. Megill’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. Looking back at his last outing, Megill finished with a no-decision vs. the Phillies, going four innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that outing, he had gone six innings without giving up an earned run. Megill has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 10.33 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Mets offense is 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best team batting average at .247. A few of their top hitters have struggled with their batting average, including Brandon Nimmo (.224) and Pete Alonso (.240).
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are both tied for the team lead with 88 RBIs, and Alonso is also the team’s leader in home runs (34), which is 10th in the league. Lindor is batting .272 for the season, and Alonso has a batting average of just .240. Jose Iglesias has been hot of late, going 12/28 in his last seven games.
The Braves Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 3rd inning before the Royals scored three runs in the top of the 3rd. Atlanta was the -218 favorite at home going into the game.
Charlie Morton took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Braves’s offense scored their only two runs in thejson 3rd, with Gio Urshela going 2/4 with a homer.
Atlanta has an overall series record of 29-16-7 this season, and they have won three straight series. They are currently in 3rd place in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies, who are leading the division. The Braves have a 88-72 record this season, and they will be facing the Mets today, who are also six games behind the Phillies.
Against the run line, the Braves are 76-84, with a 43-38 record on the road and 33-46 at home. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, resulting in an over/under record of 58-96. Heading into today’s game, the under has hit in four straight Braves games.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has been pitching well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Mets on September 24th and got the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Schwellenbach has given up a total of four earned runs. For the season, he has made 20 starts, turned in 11 quality starts, and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.47 ERA. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this year.
Braves Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are 4th in the league in home runs. Currently, they are 4th in the league in isolated power.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .304 and a league-leading 102 RBIs. He also has 39 home runs, which is 5th in the league. Matt Olson is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 98 is 14th in the MLB. Over his last five games, Michael Harris II is hitting .400 with one home run, and Gio Urshela has two homers in this stretch while also batting .333.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Mets vs. Braves matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mets, which is why we are recommending taking the Mets on the money line at +133. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this game going over.
If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Tylor Megill is projected to finish with seven strikeouts. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, his strikeout total is also seven. Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with 11 strikeouts compared to the Braves with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 30, 2024 Braves, Mets