New York Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7/20/2024

The New York Mets (49-47) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (34-63) on Saturday, July 20th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on WPIX. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-172)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Mets have won 7 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent performance.
  • In their last 15 games, the Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, showing consistent offensive production.
  • The Mets have a winning record on the road with 23 wins and 21 losses, compared to the Marlins’ home record of 15 wins and 32 losses.
  • The Mets have won 3 out of their last 4 away games, demonstrating good form on the road recently.
  • In head-to-head matchups this season, the Mets have won 4 out of 6 games against the Marlins.

Mets vs Marlins

new york mets nba

Miami picked up a 6-4 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a two-run lead heading into the 5th inning, and the Mets could only muster two more runs in the 6th. As for the Marlins, they scored an insurance run in the 8th, and the Mets could not rally in the 9th.

Edward Cabrera only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued five walks. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.

Sean Manaea had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five runs. He did finish the game with eight strikeouts. Offensively, Jeff McNeil went 3/4 with two homers, but it came in a losing effort.

For the season, the Mets are 45-51 against the run line, with a 24-20 record on the road and 21-34 as favorites. They have won two straight series and seven of their last ten games. The over has hit in four straight Mets games, and their over/under record for the season is 52-41.

New York is 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and has lost two straight games heading into today’s matchup against the Marlins. Overall, the Mets are 26-26 at home and 23-21 on the road this season.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.77 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .223 this year. In his 18 appearances, Severino has turned in eight quality starts. In his most recent outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has done much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.94 compared to 5.05 on the road.

Mets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mets have been a good offensive team, averaging 4.9 runs per game (6th) and batting a collective .250 (6th). They have also been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 123 homers is the 5th best mark in the MLB. As a team, they are 6th in on-base percentage, 6th in slugging, and 7th in OPS.

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a good bat of late, as he has three homers in his last nine games and is batting .237 over that stretch. Overall, he is hitting .248 for the season. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been the team’s top power threats, with Alonso’s 19 homers leading the team and Lindor’s 17 homers being the 2nd best mark on the team.

As underdogs, the Marlins have a 30-50 record, and they are 15-18 as the home underdog. Their overall record this season is 34-63, and they have won two straight games, bringing their current record to 4-6 in their last 10 games. Miami is 20-30 against the run line at home, and their run line record is 43-54.

When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have a 16-15 O/U record. Their season O/U record is 52-43, with an average of 8.6 runs per game. So far, 16.5% of their games have had the O/U line at 8.5 runs, while the majority of their games, 51.5%, have had lower totals.

Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins

Roddery Muñoz will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Astros, as he gets the start for the Marlins today. In that July 11th start, he took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Muñoz has made nine starts and 10 appearances. His record for the season is 1-4, and he has an ERA of 5.47. Opposing batters are hitting .228 this season off Muñoz, and his ERA at home is 7.12 compared to 5.07 on the road.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Their home run numbers are also near the bottom of the league, and they are the worst slugging team in the MLB. However, they do come into the game with a team batting average of .234, which is 14th in the league. Miami’s offense will be looking to keep things going in the right direction, as they are averaging 4.5 runs per game over their last seven games.

Currently, Bryan De La Cruz is leading the Marlins in RBIs, and his 16 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a solid power threat this season, as he has 12 homers. Over his last four games, Jake Burger has gone 8/17 with two homers and six RBIs.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Mets vs. Marlins matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mets. However, with the payout for a Mets win being just -172, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. Our prediction is that there will be a combined 11 runs, giving you some room if you want to take the over and under.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Roddery Muñoz finishing with just four strikeouts and Luis Severino with six. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could take Severino’s over on his strikeout total.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.