The New York Mets (50-48) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (35-64) on Monday, July 22nd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Mets vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-166)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
- The Mets have a winning record on the road in the last 15 games, with 5 wins and 4 losses.
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Marlins.
- The Mets have a higher league rank (7th) compared to the Marlins (15th).
- The Mets have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, scoring 75 runs while allowing 72.
Mets vs Marlins
Miami picked up a 4-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 4th. On the other side, the Mets got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final run in the 5th.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jake Burger each homered for the Marlins, while Vidal Brujan scored three times and drove in a run while going 3/4. Xavier Edwards also had a two-hit game at the top of the Marlins’ lineup.
Trevor Rogers only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just one run and struck out five. He picked up a win in the game, while Declan Cronin got the save. Christian Scott had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.
Currently, the Mets are 50-48 overall and sit 12.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 3rd in the division and have a 17-14 record in divisional games this season. New York’s series record is 15-12-5, and they have won two straight series, but are losing the current series vs. the Marlins.
This season, Mets games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 52-43. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 16-11. The Mets’ run line record is 24-22 on the road and 45-53 overall, with an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with a 3.09 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.42, and he has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 3.17. At home, his ERA is 3.22. Looking back at his last outing, Peterson picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Nationals. Before that, he had two straight outings in which he gave up two earned runs.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias have been swinging the bat well for the Mets of late, with Lindor on a six-game hitting streak and Iglesias hitting .579 over his last six games. During this stretch, Iglesias has two homers, while Jeff McNeil and Harrison Bader have each gone deep twice in their last seven games. McNeil has six hits in this stretch, while Bader has three.
Overall, the Mets are 8th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are 5th in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the league. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are the team’s top power threats, with Alonso leading the team with 19 homers and Nimmo sitting at 16.
Miami has struggled this season, with an overall record of 35-64 and a 9-20 record against NL East teams. They are 28 games behind the Phillies in the division and have lost two straight series. Against the run line, the Marlins are 45-54, but they have covered in five straight games at home and four straight as underdogs.
When the Marlins play at home, their games have averaged 8 runs and their over/under record is 52-45. The under has hit in two straight games, and their O/U record when the total is 8.5 runs is 16-16. Miami’s straight-up record as underdogs is 43-39, and their SU record at home is 20-32.
Yonny Chirinos Gets The Start For The Marlins
Yonny Chirinos will be taking the mound for the Marlins at home against the Mets. Chirinos has started 3 games so far this season and has yet to pick up a win. He is coming off a start where he took the loss against the Reds, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up 7 runs.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per game. Miami’s offense is also last in the league in home runs and have the worst isolated power mark in the league at .120. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Jake Burger, who is hitting .435 over his last six games with three homers.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz are the Marlins’ top two home run hitters this season, with 13 and 16 homers, respectively. Chisholm Jr. leads the team with 45 RBIs, while De La Cruz is 2nd at 44. Chisholm Jr. is batting .251 for the season, and De La Cruz comes in with a batting average of .237.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for the Mets vs. Marlins game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Mets winning this one 5-4, so there is some wiggle room if you wanted to take the money line, but at -166, we like the payout on the over.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, David Peterson is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have Yonny Chirinos finishing with five. As for the Mets lineup, they are projected to finish with the sixth-fewest strikeouts today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 22, 2024 Marlins, Mets