The New York Mets (89-73) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) on Tuesday, October 1st. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on ESPN. Both the Mets and Brewers are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 4:32 CT.

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-140)
• Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs

• Brewers have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
• Brewers have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
• Brewers have a home record of 47-34, while the Mets have an away record of 43-38.
• Brewers have won 2 out of 3 games in their recent home series against the Mets.
• Brewers have a league rank of 3rd, while the Mets are ranked 6th.

Mets vs Brewers

The Brewers Took The Last Game Of This Series

New York closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 3-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +263 on the money line. Things really got away from the Mets in the 2nd inning, as the Braves scored their three runs in the inning. New York’s offense was especially quiet, as they only had three hits and didn’t score a run.

Joey Lucchesi got the start for the Mets and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up three earned runs, and took the loss. The Mets also wasted a good performance from their bullpen, as three relievers combined to pitch three scoreless innings.

With an 89-73 overall record, the Mets are six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 30-22 against NL East teams and have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. As favorites, the Mets have gone 59-39 straight up and 37-44 against the run line. Their average run margin in wins is 3.7, while it is -3.5 in losses.

This season, the over has hit in 23 of the 40 games the Mets have played with a total of 7.5 runs. Today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Mets have a 43-38 road record and are 44-37 vs. the run line away from home.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far, he has made 31 starts and has a record of 11-7 with an ERA of 3.91. This season, opponents have hit .232 off Severino, and he has a WHIP of 1.24. In his 31 appearances, Severino has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Severino’s ERA on the road is 5.19 compared to 3.64 at home.

Mets Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 6th ranked home run hitting team in the league and have the 8th best team batting average in the league. New York’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 16th in the league in strikeouts per game.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they have 33 and 34 home runs, respectively. Lindor has been hot of late, going 6/17 in his last four games with two homers. Jose Iglesias has also been swinging the bat well, going 7/20 in his last five games, and he is currently on a 22-game hitting streak.

When favored, the Brewers have a 54-38 record, and as underdogs, they are 39-31. Overall, Milwaukee’s run line record is 82-80, with a 45-36 mark on the road and 37-44 at home. The over has hit in 72.2% of their games with a 7.5 run total, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.

Milwaukee leads the NL Central with a 93-69 record, 10 games ahead of the Cardinals. They have won five straight series on the road and have an overall series record of 29-18-4 this season.

Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that September 25th start, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back at his last four outings, Peralta has finished with a no-decision, win, loss, and loss. Peralta has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA. Opponents are batting .215 vs. Peralta this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.36 strikeouts compared to 3.52 walks.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/23 in his last seven games while also hitting 23 homers this season. Willy Adames has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 32 homers are 12th in the league and the most on the Brewers. He also comes into the game with 112 RBIs, which is 4th in the MLB.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.

Mets vs Brewers Prediction

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this one, but our top pick is to take the Brewers on the money line at -140. We have the Brewers winning this one 4-3, giving us some nice value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta has a better chance of picking up a win than Luis Severino. We have Peralta finishing with six strikeouts compared to Severino with five.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.