The New York Mets (51-48) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (60-42) on Tuesday, July 23rd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.
Mets vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-159)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Yankees have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games, compared to the Mets’ 4.2 runs per game.
- The Yankees have won 6 out of their last 8 home games.
- The Yankees have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Mets (6th) in their respective leagues.
- The Yankees have a better home record (27-21) compared to the Mets’ away record (25-22).
- The Yankees have scored 9 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
Mets vs Yankees
The Mets Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Mets closed out the series with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -148. Offensively, the Mets scored their six runs on json11 hits and didn’t hit a home run.
David Peterson got the start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
After splitting their most recent series vs. the Marlins, the Mets are 51-48 overall, sitting 3rd in the NL East, 11.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. They are also 11.5 games behind the Braves for 2nd place in the division.
As underdogs, the Mets have a 19-22 record, and they are 32-26 when favored. Their overall over/under record is 53-43, and the average total line for their games is 8 runs. The O/U record for games with an 8.5 run line is 17-11, and this season, 23.2% of their games have had the total set at 8.5 runs.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.13. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings vs. the Rockies and giving up five earned runs. Before that, he had a scoreless outing vs. the Nationals, going seven innings and picking up the win. Quintana has made seven quality starts this season and is averaging 6.95 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as both players come into the game with 19 homers, which is tied for 10th in the league. Lindor is batting .256 for the season, and Alonso is hitting just .241. Lindor is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Brandon Nimmo has also been a solid run producer for the Mets, as his 63 RBIs is 12th in the league.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s team batting average is .250, and they are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 9-1 win. After allowing one run to the Rays in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with two runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Yankees was Carlos Rodon, who picked up the win while tossing seven innings of one-run ball. He also finished with 10 K’s and issued just two walks. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Juan Soto, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs.
Overall, the Yankees have a 60-42 record and are 27-21 at home this season. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and trail the Orioles by 1.5 games in the AL East.
When the Yankees win, they do so by an average of 4.1 runs per game, and their run line record is 54-48. The over has hit in 26 of their 43 home games, which is a 60.5% clip.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
Luis Gil will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Orioles, he only gave up five hits and issued one walk. Looking back further, Gil had been struggling, as he had lost three straight starts before that outing vs. the Orioles. His ERA for the season is 3.17, along with a record of 10-5. Opponents are batting .166 off Gil this year. Out of his 19 starts, Gil has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Yankees are the best offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Not only are they 2nd in the league in home runs, but they also lead the league in walks. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the top power hitters in the league this season, with Judge leading the league with 35 homers and Soto 2nd on the team and 5th in the league with 25 homers. Both players also come into the game on three-game home run streaks. Soto is hitting .311 for the season, while Judge is batting .310.
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
There are a couple of ways you could look to play this Yankees vs. Mets matchup. However, we are going to recommend sticking with the Yankees on the money line at -159. We have the Yankees winning this one by a score of 6-5, and at -159, there is some good value in picking them up to get the win.
If you are looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Yankees with an over/under pick. However, we do not have a lot of confidence in the over/under line, as we have this one finishing with 11 runs, and with the line sitting at 8.5, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 23, 2024 Mets, Yankees