New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9/10/2024

The New York Mets (79-65) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (68-77) on Tuesday, September 10th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (+114)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Blue Jays have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive potential.
  • Toronto has won 5 of their last 7 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
  • The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (34-36) compared to the Mets’ away win percentage (39-31).
  • In the last 15 games, the Blue Jays have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game, compared to the Mets’ 4.1 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Toronto has a recent win against a strong team (Atlanta Braves) with a score of 9-5, demonstrating their capability to perform well against tough opponents.

Mets vs Blue Jays

new york mets nba

New York picked up a 3-2 road win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 8th inning, and the Blue Jays could only muster one run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -131 on the money line.

Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Edwin Díaz closed things out. Tommy Nance took the loss for the Blue Jays out of the bullpen.

Ernie Clement was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/2 with two RBIs. Pete Alonso did the most damage for the Mets, going 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs.

With a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, the Mets are now only one game behind the Phillies for the second NL Wild Card spot. They have also won five straight road games and four consecutive series. Overall, the Mets are 79-65, and they trail the Phillies by seven games in the NL East.

On the run line, the Mets have been profitable as underdogs with a 33-23 record. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.4 runs per game, and their over/under record this season is 71-69. Heading into today’s game, the under has hit in three straight Mets games.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

David Peterson is coming off a strong outing for the Mets, as he picked up the win vs. the Red Sox on September 3rd. In that start, he went 6 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Peterson has made 17 starts and has a record of 9-1. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.75, along with a WHIP of 1.31. Opponents have a batting average of .234 vs. Peterson this season. Out of his 17 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Per nine innings, Peterson is averaging 7.41 strikeouts and 3.66 walks.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a little better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 11th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .320 is also 8th in the MLB. The Mets have been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league this season, as their 182 homers are 5th in the league.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor is batting .269 for the season, while Alonso’s batting average is at .240. Over his last seven games, Lindor has gone 7/27 with a home run and four RBIs.

When the Blue Jays are favored, they have a 41-28 record, but as underdogs, they are 27-49. Toronto’s overall over/under record is 75-67, and the over has hit in 61.5% of their games with a total line of 8 runs. The under has hit in their last two games, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.

Toronto is 34-36 at home and 34-41 on the road this season. They have a 68-77 overall record and are 15.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays have lost three straight games and are down 0-1 in their current series against the Mets.

Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Chris Bassitt will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Phillies, he gave up two homers. Bassitt finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back over his last four starts, Bassitt has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. The right-hander’s ERA for the season is 4.30, along with a record of 9-13. Opponents are batting .263 off Bassitt this season.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the MLB. Toronto’s offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .322 with 28 homers and 94 RBIs. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. George Springer is second on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .221 for the season.

Over his last six games, Spencer Horwitz is batting .450 with three homers and five RBIs. During this stretch, he has scored five runs. Horwitz is also on a three-game hitting streak. As a team, the Blue Jays have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 6th in the league in this category.

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with a payout of +114. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is projected to pick up the win and finish with six strikeouts. As for David Peterson, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and you could look to pick him up in a season-long fantasy league, as he ranks 9th in average K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.