New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/16/2024

The New York Yankees (50-23) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (36-35) on Sunday, June 16th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on ESPN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Yankees vs Red Sox

new york yankees nba

Boston picked up an 8-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their four runs in the 7th and 8th innings.

Cooper Criswell only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Justin Slaten got the win out of the bullpen. Carlos Rodon had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.

Ceddanne Rafaela had a three-hit game for Boston and drove in three runs. Both Tyler O’Neill and Jarren Duran each scored twice and drove in a run. Rafael Devers also had a two RBI game at the plate.

The Yankees are 50-23 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. New York is 9-9 in divisional games this year and have won six straight series on the road. The Yankees are 28-13 on the road this year and have gone 22-10 at home.

At home, the Yankees won the series opener vs. the Red Sox but dropped game two. As the road favorite, the Yankees are 17-9 this year, and they are 38-18 overall as the favorite. New York has an overall series record of 17-3-2, and they have won six straight series on the road.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Yankees have been a strong play this season, going 44-29 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 26-15 against the run line. They are also 14-3 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin for the season is +1.8 runs per game, and they have been outscoring opponents by an average of 2.0 runs per game on the road.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is higher than the average over/under line for Yankees games this season, which is 8 runs. In fact, only 9.6% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-37. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 1-6-2.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 2.82. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.55 strikeouts per nine innings. Stroman has been particularly effective on the road, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.94. His ERA at home is 4.45.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. The Yankees are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, as their 108 homers is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Right now, the Yankees have a few hitters swinging the bat well. Giancarlo Stanton has gone 7/17 in his last four games with two homers, and Jose Trevino is 5/11 in his last five games. Both Stanton and Juan Soto come into the game on four-game hitting streaks. Soto is batting .319 for the season with 18 homers, while Aaron Judge leads the league with 25 homers.

Boston is 36-35 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. So far, they are just 6-9 in divisional games. The Red Sox are hosting the Yankees today and have an overall series record of 9-9-4 this year.

The Red Sox have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games, and they are 17-20 at home compared to 19-15 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 17-21 this year and 19-14 when favored.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a run line record of 33-38 overall, but they have been a better bet on the road (20-14) than at home (13-24). They have also been a better bet as an underdog (21-17) than as a favorite (12-21). Their average run differential for the season is +0.5 runs per game.

The Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 31-35 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total 5 times, under 1 time, and pushed twice. Overall, 76.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, with just 12.7% of their games having higher lines.

Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 2-6 with a 3.47 ERA. Crawford has a WHIP of 1.18 and has turned in six quality starts this year. Looking back at his last outing, Crawford took the loss after giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. He has lost each of his last three starts. Crawford’s ERA at home is 4.32, compared to 2.59 on the road.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

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After a slow start to the season, Jarren Duran has really picked things up for the Red Sox, hitting .400 over his last six games and .275 for the season. Duran also has five homers and 31 RBIs. Rafael Devers has been a consistent threat for the Red Sox, as he is batting .283 for the season and is 9th in the league with 13 homers.

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are one of the best hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .250. Boston’s offense has been especially good on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They also come into the game with a team BABIP of .32, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

With the Red Sox at +127 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, as we have them winning this one 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman’s chances of picking up a win as the eighth best among starters today. However, we have his strikeout numbers as the fourth worst, and we have him allowing a lot of base runners.

As for Kutter Crawford, we have him with the 12th best chances of picking up a win, and we have his strikeout numbers as the fifth worst. Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with the sixth most runs in the league today and the Red Sox with the 11th most.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.