The Baltimore Orioles (65-45) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (66-42) on Friday, August 2nd. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on MASN. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Orioles vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+106)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 home games, showcasing strong recent performance at home.
- In their last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, indicating a potent offense.
- The Guardians have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, demonstrating consistent winning form.
- In their last head-to-head game against the Orioles, the Guardians won decisively with a score of 10-3.
- The Guardians have a better overall home record (34-15) compared to the Orioles’ away record (31-20), giving them a home-field advantage.
Orioles vs Guardians
Cleveland cruised to a 10-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -114.
Ben Lively pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished with four strikeouts and allowed one home run. On the other side, Trevor Rogers had a rough outing for the Orioles, giving up five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
Jose Ramirez and Bo Naylor each homered for the Guardians, while David Fry went 1/5 with three RBIs and a run scored. Josh Naylor also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Currently tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead, the Orioles have a 65-45 record and are on a two-game losing streak after winning four straight. Their season series record is 22-10-3, and they have an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game in wins.
For games with a total of 9 runs, Baltimore’s O/U record is 12-11-3, and the Over has hit in their last two games. Their overall O/U record this season is 60-40, and the Over/Under line of 9 runs has been set in 26 games, which is 23.4% of their total games played.
Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Dean Kremer is on the mound for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his 14 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Kremer has allowed at least two home runs in three of them. His ERA at home is 6.07 compared to 3.49 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they are also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Baltimore is also the top slugging team in the MLB and has the best OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league.
Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last five games. Gunnar Henderson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he has gone deep eight times in his last 14 games and is batting .287 for the season.
Currently, the Guardians are 66-42 overall and have a six-game lead in the AL Central. They have a 19-15 record in divisional matchups and have won four straight games. Cleveland’s series record this season is 22-10-3, with an overall series record of 22-10-3.
Against the run line, the Guardians are 54-54, with a 31-28 record on the road and 23-26 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, and -3.2 in losing games. This season, their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and when the total line has been 9 runs, their O/U record is 6-9-2.
Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians
Carlos Carrasco will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles today. The right-hander is coming off a start in which he gave up six earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Carrasco is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA and has a WHIP of 1.40. Opposing batters are hitting .273 off Carrasco this season. In his 19 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.48 strikeouts per nine innings. Carrasco has allowed a total of 17 home runs this season. Per nine innings, he is giving up 2.56 walks.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Guardians are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in home runs. One area they have struggled in is their batting average on balls in play, as their team BABIP is just .28, which is 22nd in the league.
José Ramírez has been on a tear of late, going 8/17 in his last five games with four home runs. He is currently 2nd in the league with 90 RBIs and is batting .278 for the season. Ramírez also has a current five-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as he is 7th with 75 RBIs and has 23 homers this season.
Orioles vs Guardians Prediction
Based on the money line, we like the Guardians to pick up a win today at home. At +106, we see this as a great value pick, as our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is projected to have a better outing than Dean Kremer. Carrasco is predicted to finish with five strikeouts compared to Kremer at four.
Offensively, we have the Guardians finishing with nine hits compared to the Orioles with nine. However, the Orioles are projected to finish with more home runs, but in terms of runs, the Orioles are projected to finish with five compared to the Guardians with six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 2, 2024 Guardians, Orioles