Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 9/25/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (87-70) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (92-65) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Orioles vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-150)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Yankees have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
  • The Yankees have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • The Yankees have a home record of 42-34, while the Orioles have an away record of 43-33.
  • The Yankees have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • The Yankees have outscored the Orioles 15-14 in their last 3 head-to-head games.

Orioles vs Yankees

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 7th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +140 on the money line.

New York wasted a good outing from Clarke Schmidt, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Yankees. He took the loss in the game. As for the Orioles, Dean Kremer got the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run.

Aaron Judge hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Ryan O’Hearn went 2/2 with an RBI for the Orioles.

Overall, the Orioles have an O/U record of 83-63 this season, with the average run total in their games being 9.1 runs. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-7. Baltimore’s series record is 24-18-7, and they are currently on a five-game losing streak.

In the AL East, the Orioles are five games behind the Yankees, with an 87-70 record. On the road, they have a run line record of 45-31, with an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game.

Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Orioles

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with an ERA of 3.53. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13, and he has turned in 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, Eflin is averaging 7.45 strikeouts and just 1.06 walks. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. The right-hander allowed a homer in each of those three starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 44 homers are the 3rd most in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .120 over his last seven games. On the other hand, Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak and has gone 9/30 in his last seven games.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 9th in batting average, 3rd in slugging percentage, and 4th in OPS.

The Yankees have a 92-65 record and are currently leading the AL East by five games over the Orioles. They have won five straight series and have an overall series record of 30-15-4 this season. New York is 7-3 in their last 10 games and are looking to bounce back after losing the first game of the series against the Orioles.

New York’s run line record is 49-32 on the road and 33-43 at home. As underdogs, they have a 22-4 run line record, but as favorites, they are 60-71. The Yankees’ over/under record is 82-70, with an average total line of 9 runs per game. In games with a total of 7.5 runs, their O/U record is 7-9, and 86.6% of their games have had higher total lines than 7.5 runs.

Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is starting left-hander Nestor Cortes vs. the Orioles today. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with an ERA of 3.77. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his 30 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Cortes went six innings vs. the Mariners and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cortes has not lost a game since August 25th.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also one of the league’s most potent offenses, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and are the top on-base percentage team in the league.

Not only is Aaron Judge leading the Yankees in batting average and on-base percentage, but he also leads the league with 56 home runs and 139 RBIs. Over his last nine games, he is hitting .357 with four homers. Gleyber Torres has also been hot of late, going 15/42 with two homers in his last nine games.

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 5-4 win at home. With the money line payout for a Yankees win sitting at -150, this is the bet we recommend making.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Nestor Cortes is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Zach Eflin is predicted to finish with five. Cortes is also projected to finish with fewer hits allowed than Eflin.

Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with eight hits compared to the Orioles with eight. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with more home runs, with the Orioles finishing with nine strikeouts compared to the Yankees with eight.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.