Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 9/26/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (88-70) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (92-66) on Thursday, September 26th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Orioles vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (+123)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have won 5 of their last 7 games against the Yankees.
  • The Orioles have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 wins.
  • The Orioles have a better away record (44-33) compared to the Yankees’ home record (42-35).
  • The Orioles have won their last 2 games, while the Yankees are on a 2-game losing streak.
  • The Orioles have a higher division win percentage (32-19) compared to the Yankees (25-26).

Orioles vs Yankees

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.

Zach Eflin got the start for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen, and Keegan Akin got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up six runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.

Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson, and Colton Cowser each had two RBIs for the Orioles’ offense. Mullins, Jordan Westburg, and James McCann each had two hits and scored two runs.

As road underdogs, the Orioles have a 14-14 record this season, and their run line record on the road is 46-31. They have a 24-12 run line record as underdogs, but are 60-62 as favorites. Baltimore’s over/under record for the season is 84-63, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game.

Baltimore is 44-33 on the road and 44-37 at home, and they have an overall record of 88-70. The Orioles are currently four games behind the Yankees in the AL East, and they have won two straight games. This season, they have a 70-52 record as favorites and are 18-18 as underdogs.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Corbin Burnes has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has a record of 15-8 and an ERA of 2.95. In his 31 starts, he has pitched 22 quality starts and is averaging 8.18 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes has a WHIP of 1.11 and batting average allowed of .212. Most recently, he faced the Tigers on September 20th and didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Burnes has won two straight starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Orioles are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are the 2nd ranked home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in slugging percentage. Baltimore’s team batting average is .249 (8th) and they have the 5th best OPS in the league.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league. However, he is batting just .237 for the season and has hit just .184 over his last 10 games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, batting .341 over his last 10 games and has a seven-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Henderson is 2nd on the team with 37 homers and is batting .285 for the season.

Currently leading the AL East by four games, the Yankees are looking to avoid a sweep by the Orioles, who lead the series 2-0 heading into today’s matchup. The Yankees have gone 25-26 against divisional opponents this season.

As the favorite, the Yankees have a 74-58 straight-up record, but they are 60-72 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and they have gone over in 83 of 153 games. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees have lost two straight against the run line at home.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

Gerrit Cole will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Athletics and picked up the win. In that September 20th outing, he went 9 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has made 16 appearances and 16 starts this year. His record is 7-5, and he has an ERA of 3.67 to go along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opponents have a batting average of .218 off Cole this year. The right-hander has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.58 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 11 homers and is averaging 2.85 walks per nine innings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York’s offense is not only the best home run hitting team in the league, but they also lead the MLB in RBIs. Heading into the game, they are also the league’s top-scoring offense.

Over the team’s last eight games, Aaron Judge has gone 10/26 with four homers and 10 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team’s home run and RBI lead. Judge is also on a four-game hitting streak. Gleyber Torres is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 13/38 in his last eight games.

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

Given the payout, we really like the Orioles on the money line today, as they are currently sitting at +123. We actually have the Orioles winning this one 5-4, and with the payout, there is a lot of value in taking the Orioles to win outright.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher’s projections, Corbin Burnes is expected to finish with five strikeouts, which is better than Gerrit Cole, who is projected to finish with six. As for the Yankees and Orioles lineup, the Orioles are actually projected to finish with more home runs, and the Yankees are projected to finish with the fewest hits in the league.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.