Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/4/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (55-31) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (47-41) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Orioles vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mariners (+126)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • The Mariners have a strong home record with 28 wins and 16 losses, compared to the Orioles’ away record of 26 wins and 14 losses.
  • In their last 15 games, the Mariners have scored 5 or more runs in 6 games, showing a potent offense.
  • Seattle has won 4 out of their last 5 home games, indicating strong recent home performance.
  • The Mariners have a higher league rank (7th) compared to the Orioles (1st), suggesting better overall performance in the league standings.
  • Seattle has a better head-to-head record against Baltimore this season, winning 2 out of 3 games played at home.

Orioles vs Mariners

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore cruised to a 4-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight underdogs at +124.

Dean Kremer got the win for the Orioles, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Logan Gilbert struggled on the mound for the Mariners, giving up four runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Ryan O’Hearn hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with three RBIs. Cal Raleigh had the only multi-hit game for the Mariners, going 1/4.

So far this season, Orioles games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 43-33. The O’s are 26-14 against the run line on the road, and as favorites, they have a 44-25 record. They are currently leading the AL East with a 55-31 overall record.

As the favorite, the Orioles have a 44-25 record, and they are 17-9 as the road favorite. They have won two straight games and hold a two-game lead over the Yankees in the AL East. In games with over/under lines above 7 runs, the O’s have gone 4-4-4 this season.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 2.28 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Burnes has a WHIP of 1.03 and has issued just 2.02 walks per nine innings. Burnes has made 13 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing, he gave up just one homer. Burnes has a total of 11 homers this season.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Not only are the Orioles the best home run hitting team in the league, but they also lead the league in runs scored, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are also the league’s top slugging team and have the best OPS in the league. So far, they have been able to put up these numbers while having a below-average team BABIP.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles top two offensive threats this season, as they are 1-2 on the team in home runs and runs batted in. Rutschman comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .288, while Henderson is batting .284. Anthony Santander is also near the top of the league in home runs but has a batting average of just .234.

Seattle has been struggling lately, losing four straight games and dropping four straight series. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have a 47-41 overall record, currently leading the AL West by 2 games over the Astros.

Against the run line, the Mariners are 40-48 this season, and their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, Seattle’s O/U record is 7-13-4. As underdogs, they have a 19-17 run line record, but as favorites, they are just 21-31.

Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.88. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .204 this season. In his last outing, Miller took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road. Miller has a much better ERA at home, coming in at 2.18 compared to 6.75 on the road.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 15 homers is 12th best in the majors and leads the Mariners. However, he is batting just .201 for the season and has gone 6/27 in his last eight games. Mitch Garver has also been a solid power threat, with 10 homers, but like Raleigh, he has struggled with a batting average of just .176.

As a team, the Mariners are 27th in runs per game (3.8) and are batting a collective .216, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Overall, they are 11th in home runs, but their isolated power (ISO) of .145 is just 16th in the league.

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at +126. We have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving you some wiggle room to take them on the money line or to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Corbin Burnes finishing with more strikeouts than Mariners starter Bryce Miller. However, we have Miller finishing with a lower ERA and picking up the win in this one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.