San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 10/11/2024

The San Diego Padres (93-69) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) on Friday, October 11th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on FOX. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 7:08 CT.

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Dodgers (-144)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 8 Runs
  • The Dodgers have won 8 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong recent form.
  • In their last 5 home games against the Padres, the Dodgers have won 4 times, indicating a favorable head-to-head trend at home.
  • The Dodgers have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 4 home games against the Padres.
  • Overall, the Dodgers have a strong home record this season with 52 wins and 29 losses.
  • The Dodgers have a current winning streak of 5 games, demonstrating momentum going into the matchup.

Padres vs Dodgers

san diego padres nba

It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as Los Angeles took down the Padres by a score of 8-0. The Dodgers offense only had three more hits than the Padres and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +116 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Ryan Brasier for the Dodgers and Dylan Cease for the Padres. Brasier only went 1 1/3 innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run. Evan Phillips came out of the bullpen for the win. Cease was tagged for three homers and three runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.

Gavin Lux hit the game’s first home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Mookie Betts and Will Smith also each had two hits and two RBIs for the Dodgers’ offense.

Facing a must-win situation on the road against the Dodgers, the Padres will look to extend their postseason run. San Diego finished the regular season with a 93-69 record, including a 48-33 mark on the road and a 45-36 record at home. As favorites, the Padres went 63-44, while they posted a 34-27 record as underdogs.

San Diego’s run line record for the season stands at 86-82, with a +1.1 run margin on the road compared to an even run margin at home. Their run line record on the road is 52-31. The Padres’ over/under record is 86-77, and today’s O/U line of 8 runs is slightly below their season average of 8.8 runs.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish has been pitching well for the Padres, coming into the game with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.31. So far, he has made 16 starts and five of them have been quality starts. Darvish’s ERA on the road is 2.56, and he is 5-0 away from home. In his most recent outing, Darvish picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed a total of two earned runs. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .263. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are 8th in the league in runs scored (4.7 per game) and have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 105 RBIs are 7th best in the league. He also leads the team with 29 homers and comes into the game with a batting average of .275. Over his last seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 11/26 with four homers and eight runs scored. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are also near the top of the Padres home run leaderboard, with 24 homers apiece.

Facing a must-win game against the Padres, the Dodgers will look to extend their five-game winning streak and keep their postseason hopes alive. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, including a 52-29 mark at home and 46-35 on the road. As favorites, they went 93-53 this year, compared to 7-13 as underdogs.

During the regular season, the Dodgers posted a run line record of 84-82, with a 41-42 mark at home. They averaged a +0.9 run-scoring margin per game. Los Angeles also had an over/under record of 93-68, with their average O/U line at 9 runs. Today’s line of 8 runs is lower than 70.4% of their games this season.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Through 18 starts, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.00. This year, he has made seven quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Yamamoto finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Yamamoto has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 2.14 compared to 8.04 at home.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

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Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 54 homers are 2nd in the league and the most on the Dodgers. He also comes into the game with the team’s top batting average at .310. Not far behind him is Teoscar Hernandez, who is batting .272 for the season and has gone 11/29 with three homers over his last seven games. Hernandez also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

Overall, the Dodgers have the league’s best OPS and slugging percentage, while also leading the league in isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game and are the top home run hitting lineup in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest.

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction for this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at -144. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 4-3, so there is a little bit of value in taking them on the money line, rather than the over/under, as the line is set at 8 runs.

Looking at a couple of potential player props, we have Yu Darvish finishing with five strikeouts and Yoshinobu Yamamoto also with five. As for their final lines, we have Darvish going six innings and Yamamoto also going six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.