San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 9/26/2024

The San Diego Padres (91-67) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-64) on Thursday, September 26th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on None. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 9:10 CT.

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Dodgers (-125)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Dodgers have a strong home record with 51 wins and 29 losses this season.
  • Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 games.
  • In the last 15 games, the Dodgers have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game.
  • Dodgers have a season record of 94-64, ranking 1st in the NL West.
  • In head-to-head matchups this season, the Dodgers have won 4 out of 7 games against the Padres.

Padres vs Dodgers

san diego padres nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Padres series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as slight favorites at -139 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. San Diego had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning but could only muster one run.

Jack Flaherty got the start for the Dodgers, going five innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. He did not factor in the decision as Alex Vesia got the win out of the bullpen. Dylan Cease had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up three earned runs.

Offensively, the Dodgers were led by Shohei Ohtani, Gavin Lux, and Freddie Freeman, as they were the only three Dodgers hitters to have more than one hit. Ohtani also scored two runs and drove in two runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. did the most damage for the Padres, going 2/3 with a home run and three RBIs.

San Diego has been a strong run line team this season, going 49-28 against the run line on the road and 39-17 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 82-76. The Padres are 91-67 overall and are currently three games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games.

On the road, the Padres have a 46-31 record straight up and 24-17 as underdogs. At home, they are 45-36. The Padres’ over/under record is 80-74, with an average of 8.8 runs per game. When the total is 8.5 runs, they have a 19-16 O/U record.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.95 ERA. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, Musgrove went six innings, didn’t give up an earned run, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in six straight outings. Musgrove has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.16 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 13 home runs.

Padres Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Padres are the league’s top hitting team, batting a combined .264. They are also one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, coming into the game 10th in the league. San Diego’s offense is also one of the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts, as they are the top-ranked team in this category.

Manny Machado has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 29 homers are 13th best in the league and is the best mark on the Padres. He is also 7th in the league with 104 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Machado has three homers, but is just 6/26. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also hit three homers in this stretch, while going 9/30.

Los Angeles has a 94-64 overall record and is currently leading the NL West by three games over the Padres. They have a 27-21 record against divisional opponents and have won two straight series. The Dodgers are 51-29 at home and 43-35 on the road.

Against the run line, the Dodgers are 78-80, with their games averaging 9.4 runs per game this season. The over has hit 87 times compared to 67 unders in their games, and the under has hit in their last two games. Straight-up, they are 89-52 as favorites and 5-12 as underdogs.

Walker Buehler Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Walker Buehler gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres at home. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 1-6. Buehler’s ERA is 5.63, and he has a WHIP of 1.58. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Buehler’s last outing came on September 21st, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Per nine innings, Buehler is averaging 3.45 walks compared to 8.06 strikeouts.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

los angeles dodgers

Shohei Ohtani is having a monster season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .303 with 53 home runs and 125 RBIs. Ohtani has been especially hot of late, going 21/42 in his last 10 games with six homers. Teoscar Hernández is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .269 with 31 homers.

Overall, the Dodgers have the league’s 2nd ranked offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are the league’s top slugging team and have the best isolated power figure in the league.

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

There are a few ways to play this game, but we are going to stick with a straight-up Dodgers win at -125. We do have this game ending with a 5-4 win for the Dodgers, and you could also look to take the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joe Musgrove finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for third among all starters today. As for Walker Buehler, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which would have him 12th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.