San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8/26/2024

The San Diego Padres (74-58) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (65-65) on Monday, August 26th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:45 CT.

Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-109)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
  • Padres have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Padres have won 4 out of their last 6 road games.
  • Padres have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
  • Padres have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • Padres have a better overall away record (37-26) compared to the Cardinals’ home record (34-30).

Padres vs Cardinals

san diego padres nba

The Padres Are Coming Off A Win

The Padres’s offense was carried by Jurickson Profar in their most recent game vs. the Mets. Profar went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really needed his big game, as they only scored three runs and won by just one run. They were the slight favorite at -121 at home going into the game.

Martin Perez got the start for the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the no-decision. Robert Suarez picked up the win out of the bullpen, and the Padres’s closer, Emilio Pagan, picked up the save.

San Diego’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, with an over/under record of 71-60. They have played just 5.3% of their games with a total of 9.5 runs, going 6-2 O/U in those matchups. Overall, the Padres are 68-64 against the run line, including a 41-22 record on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 74-58 overall and are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They have a 26-14-4 series record this season and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. As favorites, the Padres are 47-36 straight up, while as underdogs, they are 27-22.

Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.63. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.51. In his 17 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 5.84 strikeouts per nine innings. Vásquez most recently pitched on August 8th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has not taken the loss in back-to-back outings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

So far, the Padres have been the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 21 homers are the most on the team and 14th in the league. He is also batting .291 for the season and has gone 7/23 with two homers and six RBIs over his last six games. Manny Machado is right behind him with 20 homers and is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs.

The Cardinals Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 3-2 win. St. Louis was the +121 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was the Cardinals’s offense that carried them to the win, as they scored their three runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.

Erick Fedde put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only three walks and struck out seven Twins batters. Victor Scott II was the Cardinals’s big hitter, going 1/4 with a homer and scoring the team’s other two runs.

St. Louis has a 34-30 record at home this season and they are 21-18-4 in series matchups. The Cardinals have won two straight series, including their most recent one against the Twins. As the favorite against the run line, they are 32-32 at home with an average run margin of -0.2.

The Cardinals’ over/under record for games with a 9.5 run total is 3-4, and their season over/under record is 61-66. Currently, they are on a four-game under streak, and only 1.5% of their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today and comes into the game with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 4.22. He has made 24 starts this season and has a WHIP of 1.36. Opponents are batting .255 off Gibson this season. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gibson finished with a no-decision vs. the Brewers, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs, five hits, and two homers. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

The Cardinals offense has been below average this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and have the 10th fewest strikeouts in the league. St. Louis is also 12th in on-base percentage.

Right fielder Alec Burleson has been a bright spot for the Cardinals this season, leading the team with 21 home runs while batting .274. He also has a team-high 70 RBIs. Nolan Arenado has been hot of late, going 11/33 with two homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .273 with 14 homers.

Padres vs Cardinals Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Padres vs. Cardinals matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Padres. Given that the Padres are on the road, you can get them at -109 on the money line, and this is our recommended bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Randy Vásquez going seven innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Kyle Gibson, we have him going five innings and finishing with just four strikeouts.

Offensively, the Padres are our top team in terms of projected hits, and they are also predicted to outscore the Cardinals by one run.

If you’re looking for a Cardinals vs. Padres prediction, we would go with the Padres on the money line.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.