Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 7/4/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (57-29) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (39-48) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on MLBN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 1:20 CT.

Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-134)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Phillies have won 10 of their last 15 games, showcasing strong recent form.
  • In their last 15 games, the Phillies have averaged 5.4 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Phillies have won both of their last two games against the Cubs, scoring a total of 11 runs.
  • Philadelphia has a strong away record, with 24 wins and 15 losses on the road this season.
  • The Phillies have a +28 run differential over their last 15 games, demonstrating effective scoring and defense.

Phillies vs Cubs

philadelphia phillies nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Phillies vs Cubs series. Philadelphia went into the matchup as slight favorites at -114 and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Phillies offense only had two more hits than the Cubs and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a win.

Cubs starter Shota Imanaga went six innings and gave up just three hits and two earned runs but took the loss. Tyson Miller came out of the bullpen for the Phillies and got the win.

At the plate, the Phillies were led by Alec Bohm and Rafael Marchan, who each had two hits and an RBI. Trea Turner also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia has a 57-29 overall record and leads the NL East by nine games over the Braves. They have won three straight games and are 14-8 against NL East teams. The Phillies have a 33-14 home record and are 24-15 on the road. Their run line record is 22-17 on the road and 46-40 overall.

As the favorite, the Phillies are 50-23 straight up, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs this season. The over has hit in 68.6% of their games with a total of 7.5 runs, and their overall O/U record is 38-43. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Cubs on the road. Sánchez has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA. In his 16 appearances, he has pitched one shutout and has nine quality starts. Sánchez has a WHIP of 1.19 and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Marlins, he went nine innings and gave up just three hits. Sánchez has won each of his last three starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Over the past nine games, Alec Bohm has gone 9/35 with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .299 with 11 homers and 70 RBIs, which is the best mark in the league. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have also been big power threats for the Phillies this season, as Harper has 20 homers and Schwarber has 17.

As a team, the Phillies are 4th in scoring at 5 runs per game and are the top home run-hitting team in the league. They are also the top home run-hitting team in the league and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. The Phillies are also the top scoring team in the league at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Chicago’s struggles have been evident, as they have lost three straight games and are 2-8 in their last 10. They are currently 5th in the NL Central with a 39-48 record, 13 games behind the Brewers.

Against the run line, the Cubs are 40-47, including a 15-27 record at home. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-45. The over has hit in three straight games, and when the total is 7.5 runs, they have gone over 11 times and under 10 times.

Jameson Taillon Gets The Start For The Cubs

Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today and comes in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 3.03. Looking back at his last outing, Taillon took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in back-to-back starts. One of those wins was a quality start in which he didn’t give up an earned run. Taillon has made 13 starts this year and has seven quality starts. For the season, opponents are batting .252 off the right-hander. His ERA at home is 3.21 compared to 3.25 on the road.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

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Chicago’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit better at home, putting up 4.2 runs per game, but on the road, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Cubs are batting just .228 and are in the bottom half of the league in both slugging percentage and OPS.

Chris Morel has been a bright spot for the Cubs this season, leading the team with 15 home runs. However, he is batting just .197. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are also batting below .230. Cody Bellinger has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 in his last five games.

Phillies vs Cubs Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Cubs matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. With the Phillies predicted to pick up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, with the payout being -134.

Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Christopher Sanchez finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among all starters. As for Jameson Taillon, he is predicted to finish with four strikeouts, which is seventh worst among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.