The Philadelphia Phillies (51-26) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (36-41) on Monday, June 24th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on NSPPH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Phillies vs Tigers
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Diamondbacks in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with a run of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Cristopher Sánchez put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out four Arizona batters. Alec Bohm was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a double, run scored, and a stolen base. David Dahl also had a good game, going 2/4 with two RBIs.
Philadelphia is 51-26 overall and leads the NL East by seven games over the Braves. They have won two straight games and are 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with two straight wins.
At home, the Phillies have gone 31-12 this year, and they are 20-14 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 34-13. As the favorite, the Phillies are 45-20 this year, and they are 6-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 16-7-4 and have won two straight series.
The Phillies are 41-36 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of +1.5 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line at home, going 23-20, but have been even better on the road, where they are 18-16. They are 35-30 against the run line as the favorite and 6-6 as the underdog. Their average run margin in wins is +3.8 runs per game, while it is -3.1 runs per game in losses.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season and have an O/U record of 33-39. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 12 times, under 8 times, and pushed once. Overall, 40.3% of their games have had O/U lines set at over 8 runs.
Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Tigers on the road. Nola has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.54 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.06 and opponents are batting .211 this year. In his last outing, Nola finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. He did give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Nola has one complete game shutout this year.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Not only are the Phillies the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they are also one of the most consistent offenses, averaging 5.4 runs per game at home and 4.6 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and have the 5th most home runs in the league. Currently, they have three of the top 12 RBI leaders in the league, with Alec Bohm leading the team with 61 RBIs.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been swinging the bat well of late, with both players hitting three home runs and batting over .300 in their last six games. Harper comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and is 7/22 with three homers in his last six games.
Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Tigers closed out the series with an impressive 11-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -191. It was a five-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the White Sox could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.
Reese Olson put together a good start for the Tigers, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Detroit’s offense was carried by Colt Keith, who went 4/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Detroit is 4th in the AL Central with a record of 36-41, putting them 14 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 12-10 in AL Central games. The Tigers will be at home today, hosting the Phillies, and they are 18-20 at home this season.
The Tigers have been slightly better on the road, going 18-21. They have really struggled as the underdog this season, coming in with a mark of 17-25, which includes having lost four straight as the underdog. Detroit’s overall series record is 10-11-4 this year.
When betting the run line with the Tigers this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 21-18. However, they’ve been a poor bet at home, going just 13-25. They are also a better bet as the underdog, going 25-17 compared to 9-26 as the favorite. Their average run differential in games they’ve won is +3.8, while in losses it’s -3.5.
The Detroit Tigers are playing the Philadelphia Phillies at home today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged a combined 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-34 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, their record is 9-9-2.
Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers
Casey Mize gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Phillies at home. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 1-5 with an ERA of 4.43. Mize’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.45. Looking back at his last outing, Mize took the loss, going four innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that outing, he had pitched well, giving up a combined three earned runs in his previous two starts. Mize has allowed at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Over his last 10 games, Riley Greene is batting .371 with three home runs, and 11 RBIs. Overall, he is batting .261 with a team-high 40 RBIs and 15 homers. Matt Vierling is also swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, as he is hitting .400 over his last nine games. Vierling has nine homers this season, which is 2nd on the team.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. Their team batting average of .232 is 18th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and OPS. Detroit’s offense has been pretty consistent, as they are averaging 4.1 runs per game on the road and 4.2 runs per game at home.
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Tigers matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. However, with the payout for a Phillies win being -172, we recommend taking the over at 8 runs. You can get the over at -113, and we have this game going over by a run.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Nola going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Casey Mize, we have him going six innings as well but finishing with just four strikeouts.
Offensively, our projections have the Tigers finishing with nine hits compared to the Phillies with eight. However, we have the Phillies hitting more home runs, with the Tigers finishing with the eighth fewest in our projections.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 28, 2024 Phillies, Tigers