The Philadelphia Phillies (85-57) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (53-89) on Sunday, September 8th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on NSPPH. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+111)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Marlins have scored 9 runs in their most recent game against the Phillies.
- The Marlins have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Marlins have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 home wins.
- The Marlins have a recent win against the Phillies, scoring 5 runs on August 13th.
- The Marlins have a .500 record (5-5) in their last 10 games, showing competitive form.
Phillies vs Marlins
Miami cruised to a 9-5 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 7th inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +217 on the money line.
Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. John McMillon came out of the bullpen for the win. Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
Miami’s offense was led by Otto Lopez and Connor Norby, as they were the only two Marlins hitters to have more than one hit. Lopez, Jonah Bride, and Jesus Sanchez each had two RBIs for Miami’s lineup.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, with a 70-72 record. They have a 47-25 record at home and are currently on a four-series winning streak. The Phillies are 85-57 overall and lead the NL East by seven games over the Mets.
When favored, the Phillies have a 72-42 record straight up. Their over/under record for games with an 8.5 total is 14-14 this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 8.5 runs.
Seth Johnson Gets The Start For The Phillies
The Phillies will be sending Seth Johnson to the mound today against the Marlins. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
The Phillies come into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are the 3rd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .260. Philadelphia also does a good job of getting on base, as they are 4th in the league in OBP and have the 5th best OPS in the league.
Over his last five games, Kyle Schwarber has been on fire, going 11/23 with five homers and 11 RBIs. Schwarber’s 33 home runs this season is 9th in the league, and his 93 RBIs is also good for 9th in the league. Bryce Harper has also been a big power threat for the Phillies, as he has 26 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team.
When Miami wins, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game, but their losses come by an average of 3.9 runs. The Marlins have an over/under record of 77-61 this season, with their games averaging 9.0 runs per game. The over has hit in their last two games, and they have gone over the total in 26 of 49 games with the line set at 8.5 runs.
The Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a 53-89 record, putting them 32 games behind the Phillies. They are looking to bounce back today, entering the game with a 5-5 record in their last 10. As the underdog, Miami is 49-75 this season, compared to 4-14 as the favorite. Their run line record is 66-76, with a 31-43 mark at home.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he will be looking to build off his last outing. In that start vs. the Giants, Cabrera picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, he has given up at least two home runs in three of them. Cabrera’s ERA for the season is 5.33, along with a record of 3-6. Opponents are batting .230 this season vs. Cabrera.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Currently, the Marlins are one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as their 131 total homers is 23rd in the league. As a team, the Marlins are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and they are 17th in the league in strikeouts.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, as Burger leads the team with 25 homers, and Sánchez is right behind him with 17. Burger also leads the team with 60 RBIs, while Sánchez has 59 of his own. Over his last seven games, Connor Norby has gone 8/29 with two homers.
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
Getting the Marlins at +111 on the money line is a great value bet. We have them winning this game 5-4, and with their payout sitting at +111, you could also look to take them on the run line, as there are a few different ways you could play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Edward Cabrera is projected to go seven innings, and with him getting the win, he is a good option if you’re looking to place a same-game parlay. As for the Phillies, they are projected to finish with eight hits, and if you’re looking for a team prop bet, you could take the Marlins to finish with fewer strikeouts, as we have them finishing with seven, compared to the Phillies with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 8, 2024 Marlins, Phillies