The Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) travel to face off against the New York Mets (89-73) on Wednesday, October 9th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on FS1. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 4:08 CT.
Phillies vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-106)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against the Phillies, scoring an average of 6.2 runs per game.
- In their last 15 games, the Mets have scored 7 or more runs in 6 games, showcasing a strong offensive performance.
- The Mets have a home record of 46-35, which is better than the Phillies’ away record of 41-40, indicating a home-field advantage.
- In the last 15 games, the Mets have scored 10 or more runs in 3 games, highlighting their potential for explosive offensive outputs.
- The Mets have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Phillies, demonstrating recent success in head-to-head matchups.
Phillies vs Mets
New York cruised to a 7-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight favorites at -103.
Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up four earned runs.
Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Jose Iglesias also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Facing a must-win game four on the road, the Phillies are looking to even their series against the Mets, who lead 2-1. Philadelphia finished the regular season with a 95-67 record, including a 54-27 mark at home and 41-40 on the road. As favorites, they went 83-51, while posting a 13-18 record as underdogs.
Philadelphia’s run line record for the season is 78-87, with a 41-41 mark on the road and 37-46 at home. As favorites, they went 62-72 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9 runs this season, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5. The Phillies’ over/under record is 81-75, and the over has hit in their last eight games.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 27 starts and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 27 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a home run. Suárez has given up at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 4th in batting average and 7th in home runs. Currently, they have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in homers, respectively.
Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper are both on hitting streaks for the Phillies, with Castellanos currently on a three-game streak and Harper on a four-game streak. Over his last seven games, Castellanos is batting .435 with two homers, while Harper has two homers in that stretch.
Leading their series 2-1 against Philadelphia, the Mets are looking to close things out at home in game four. New York posted a 46-35 record at home this season, compared to 43-38 on the road. As favorites, they went 59-39, while finishing 34-36 as underdogs.
New York’s run line record for the season is 87-81, with a 39-43 mark at home. They’ve covered the run line in three straight home games. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, and their over/under record is 86-77. The over has hit in their last three games.
Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Brewers on October 3rd, he went six innings, giving up just one homer, and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he only gave up four hits and issued one walk. Looking back further, Quintana has made 31 starts, and his ERA is 3.75. For the season, he is 10-10. One area of concern for Quintana is his walk rate, as he is giving up 3.33 per nine innings compared to just 7.13 strikeouts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a big reason why the Mets have the 6th best home run total in the league this season, as Lindor has 33 homers and Alonso has 34. Lindor is batting .273 for the season, and Alonso is hitting .240. Alonso is 3rd on the team with 88 RBIs, while Lindor is leading the Mets with 91 RBIs.
Over his last six games, Mark Vientos has gone 10/24 with two homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie with Jose Iglesias and Francisco Alvarez for the team’s longest active hitting streak at three games. Pete Alonso has also homered three times in his last six games, but he is just 4/19 in that stretch.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
Our advice for this Phillies vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, with the payout sitting at -106. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 4-3, and with the money line payout being close to even, we see this as the best route to go.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jose Quintana finishing with four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among today’s starters. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is the third-best among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 9, 2024 Mets, Phillies