The Philadelphia Phillies (91-62) travel to face off against the New York Mets (85-68) on Friday, September 20th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on APLTV. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Phillies vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-108)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Phillies have scored an average of 5.8 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- Phillies have won 6 out of their last 10 games.
- Phillies have a head-to-head record of 4-2 against the Mets in their last 6 meetings.
- Phillies have an away record of 39-36, while the Mets have a home record of 44-34.
- Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 9 of their last 15 games.
Phillies vs Mets
New York picked up a 10-6 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -137 on the money line.
Luis Severino started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Taijuan Walker had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss after going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs.
Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/3 with three RBIs. Pete Alonso also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs.
Philadelphia has a 91-62 record and leads the NL East by six games over the Mets, but they have lost two straight games, including the first game of this series. Their overall series record this season is 25-17-7.
When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Phillies’ O/U record is 13-16. Their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs, with a season O/U record of 71-74.
Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Through 29 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.24. This year, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 7-3 record and 2.23 ERA compared to 3-6 with a 5.61 ERA on the road. Sánchez has made 29 appearances and has a WHIP of 1.23. In his 29 starts, he has two complete games and one shutout to go along with 17 quality starts. The last time he faced the Mets, he gave up one earned run in seven innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league, and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. The Phillies are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Over his last 10 games, Bryce Harper has gone 12/37 with three homers and seven RBIs. Harper is batting .288 for the season and has 29 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Kyle Schwarber has gone deep 35 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 7th in the league. Schwarber is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are on a four-game winning streak, including a victory in the first game of the series against the Phillies. They are six games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with an overall record of 85-68. Against the run line, the Mets are 78-75, including a 42-33 record on the road.
This season, Mets games have averaged 9.1 runs, resulting in a 77-71 over/under record. Their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs or higher in 69.3% of their matchups, and the over is currently on a three-game streak.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 7 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Phillies, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back over his last four outings, Peterson has a record of 1-0 with three no-decisions. The left-hander has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Overall, Peterson is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA and has issued 3.51 walks per nine innings compared to 7.26 strikeouts.
Mets Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been the team’s top power hitters, as Alonso has 34 homers and Lindor has 31. Alonso is also the team’s leading run producer, with 87 RBIs.
Francisco Lindor comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak, and Pete Alonso has hit safely in seven straight games. Over his last six games, Alonso is 9/24 with two homers, while Lindor is just 3/16 in this stretch. Jose Iglesias has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/26 in his last six games.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
Given the payout, we really like the Phillies on the money line today. With the payout sitting at -108, we have the Phillies winning this one 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, Christopher Sanchez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing sixth among starters.
As for David Peterson, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, which has him finishing 13th. Offensively, the Phillies are projected to finish with 10 hits, compared to the Mets, who are projected to finish with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 20, 2024 Mets, Phillies