Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 9/21/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) travel to face off against the New York Mets (85-69) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-109)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Mets have won 8 of their last 10 home games.
  • The Mets have scored 10 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, matching the Phillies’ recent performance, but with a stronger home advantage.
  • In the last 15 games, the Mets have outscored the Phillies 37 to 29 in head-to-head matchups.
  • The Mets have a higher home win percentage (55.7%) compared to the Phillies’ away win percentage (52.6%).

Phillies vs Mets

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia cruised to a 12-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their twelve runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -119.

Cristopher Sanchez got the win for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs. David Peterson had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss after going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.

Alec Bohm and J.T. Realmuto each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 3/5 with two RBIs. Johan Rojas also had a two-hit game and scored three times while batting leadoff for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia has a 92-62 overall record and leads the NL East by seven games over the Mets. The Phillies are 28-19 against other NL East teams and have won two straight games as the favorite. Their series record this season is 25-17-7.

On the run line, the Phillies have a 40-36 record on the road and are 75-79 overall. They have gone over the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game. This season, 72.1% of their games have gone over the total.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.13. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year and 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.71 strikeouts and just 2.26 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average at .259 and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Philadelphia also has the league’s 4th best team OPS and are near the top of the league in home runs.

Kyle Schwarber has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, with his 35 home runs being the best mark on the Phillies and 8th best in the MLB. He is also 11th in the league with 98 RBIs. Schwarber is also currently on a 5-game hitting streak. Bryce Harper has also been a big power threat, as his 29 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th best in the league. Harper comes into the game with a team-best .375 on-base percentage.

At home this season, the Mets have a 44-35 record, while on the road, they are 41-34. They are 27-20 in the division and have an overall record of 85-69, which puts them seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games and are 1-1 in this series vs. the Phillies.

On the run line, the Mets have a 42-33 record on the road and are 36-43 at home. Their overall run line record is 78-76, with an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game. This season, Mets games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 78-71. The over has hit in their last four games, and today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is lower than usual, as 68.8% of their games have had higher totals.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with an ERA of 3.26. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and opponents are batting .194 off him this year. Manaea has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 9.32 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

As a team, the Mets are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league. The Mets have also been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are currently 16th in the league in strikeouts.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 34 home runs leads the team and is 9th in the league, while Lindor is 12th in the league with 31 homers. Lindor comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and has gone 7/28 with four homers over his last nine games. Jose Iglesias has been on fire of late, hitting .415 over his last 10 games.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

Our predictions for this Mets vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -109. We have the Mets winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking to bet the over/under, the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we would recommend taking the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the eighth best chances of picking up a win among today’s starters. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him finishing with five K’s and his chances of getting a win are the eighth best.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.