Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9/3/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-56) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (67-72) on Tuesday, September 3rd. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-113)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Blue Jays have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
  • In their last 5 home games, the Blue Jays have a 4-1 record.
  • The Blue Jays have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Blue Jays have won 4 out of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (.507) compared to the Phillies’ away win percentage (.523).

Phillies vs Blue Jays

philadelphia phillies nba

The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Braves, the Phillies closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good start for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd.

Aaron Nola put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Braves batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with three RBIs.

Philadelphia is 34-31 on the road this season and 81-56 overall. They have won three straight series and are 24-16-6 in series play. The Phillies are 69-41 as favorites and have covered the run line in their last two road games.

This season, the Phillies’ games have averaged 8 runs, with a 63-67 over/under record. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over that line 12 times and under it 13 times.

Tyler Phillips Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Tyler Phillips gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 5.50. Phillips’ WHIP for the season is 1.22. In his 36 innings of work, he has given up seven homers. Phillips is coming off a start in which he gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up nine hits and issued one walk. One of the hits he allowed was a homer. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 6th in the MLB in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .257, which is the 4th best mark in the league. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they are near the top of the league in home runs and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts.

Bryce Harper has been one of the Phillies’ top hitters this season, batting .281 with 26 homers. He has also been hot of late, going 11/28 in his last eight games. Kyle Schwarber has also been a big power threat for the Phillies, as his 28 homers is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Alec Bohm has been a good contact hitter for the Phillies, batting .290 for the season.

The Blue Jays Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog going into this road game.

Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Twins but scored just three runs. Their big inning was the 1st, as they got on the board with a run but then gave up the lead right away. Ernie Clement had a good day at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer.

When the Blue Jays are favored, they have a 41-27 record straight up, but they are 26-45 as underdogs. They have a 34-33 record at home and are 33-39 on the road. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-63. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, with the Blue Jays holding a 22-19 record in games with that total.

Toronto is 13.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, with an overall record of 67-72, placing them 5th in the division. The Blue Jays have won four straight games at home and are looking to continue that streak as they face the Phillies today.

Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Red Sox on August 28th, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Bassitt has a record of 9-13 and an ERA of 4.27. Out of his 27 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.84 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 3.38 walks per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 5.85 compared to 4.07 on the road.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

Over the past eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 14/31 (.452) with six runs and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the top 10 in the league in RBIs, as he is currently 10th with 89 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also 10th in the league with 27 home runs, which is the top mark on the Blue Jays. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .216 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They are also near the middle of the pack in most offensive categories, including batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Currently, Toronto is 20th in home runs and 12th in batting average.

Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our predictions for this Phillies vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -113. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt has the fourth-best chances of picking up a win among today’s starters, and he is projected to go five innings. As for Tyler Phillips, he has a lower strikeout projection than Bassitt and is predicted to go just five innings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.