Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/27/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (69-90) on Friday, September 27th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+155)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Nationals have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • Nationals scored an average of 4.0 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • Nationals won their last head-to-head game against the Phillies on August 18th with a score of 6-4.
  • Phillies have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
  • Nationals have a 3-1 record in their last 4 home games against divisional opponents.

Phillies vs Nationals

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The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win

The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 9-6 win. After allowing three runs to the Cubs in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with three runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Cristopher Sánchez got the start for the Phillies, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also helped his own cause at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Philadelphia is 28-23 as the road favorite this season and 81-47 overall when favored. Their games have gone over the total in two straight, bringing their O/U record to 75-75 for the season. The average total line for their games is 8 runs, and their O/U record for games with an 8-run line is 20-18-3.

The Phillies lead the NL East by six games with a 94-65 record and will be on the road today to face the Nationals. They have a 40-38 run line record on the road, with an average run margin of +0.4. As underdogs, they are 16-15 against the run line this season.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 12-7 to go along with an ERA of 3.15. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this season and 11 quality starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average (.258) and 7th in home runs. The Phillies also have a good team on-base percentage and OPS.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ most consistent hitters this season, with Harper batting .286 and Schwarber at .250 with a league-high 38 home runs. Harper has gone deep 30 times this season, which is 2nd on the team. Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have both gone deep three times in their last nine games, with Castellanos batting .424 in that stretch. Castellanos also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

The Nationals Took The Last Game Of This Series

Led by a big game by Luis Garcia at the plate, the Nationals are coming off a 7-4 loss to the Royals. Garcia went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Nationals really needed a better start from Patrick Corbin, as he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Washington was the +147 underdog at home going into this game.

The Nationals scored their four runs on seven hits and only had one home run. Kansas City’s offense scored three runs in the 3rd and added another three in the 9th to put things out of reach. The Royals were the -200 favorite going into the game.

Washington is struggling as they head into today’s game, having lost nine of their last ten games. They are 25 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and have an overall record of 69-90. The Nationals have a 36-42 home record and are 13-15 against the run line as favorites.

This season, Nationals games have averaged 8.8 runs, with an over/under record of 10-11-1 when the total is set at 8 runs. Overall, 65.4% of their games have had higher total lines than today’s 8 runs.

Trevor Williams Gets The Start For The Nationals

Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals today and comes in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.19. So far this year, he has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .218 off the right-hander. Williams has made one quality start this year and is averaging 7.88 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Williams took the loss, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone 5 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Williams has allowed just three homers this year.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

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Joey Gallo has two homers in his last seven games for the Nationals, but he is hitting just .250 over that stretch. For the season, he is batting .278. Luis Garcia Jr. has been the team’s most consistent hitter, as he is batting .278 this season and has gone deep 17 times. CJ Abrams has the most homers for the Nationals this season (20) but is batting just .246.

As a team, the Nationals are 25th in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a bit better on the road (4.1 RPG) compared to at home (4.0 RPG). Overall, they are batting just .241 and are near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line at +155. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, and with the payout at +155, there is a lot of value in picking the Nationals to win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Williams is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is averaging out as the 14th best starter to pick up a win. As for Ranger Suarez, he is averaging out as the 11th best starter to pick up a win, and we have him finishing with five strikeouts.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.