The Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (70-90) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+184)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• The Nationals have won 5 of their last 6 home games.
• The Nationals scored an average of 4.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
• The Nationals have a recent head-to-head win against the Phillies, scoring 9 runs on September 27th.
• The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (37-42) compared to the Phillies’ away win percentage (40-39).
• The Nationals have a recent winning streak of 1 game, while the Phillies have lost their last game.

Phillies vs Nationals

Washington cruised to a 9-1 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +155 underdogs.

Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies, going just two innings while giving up six runs and took the loss. Trevor Williams put together a good outing for the Nationals, getting the win after going five innings and not giving up a run.

Austin Hays was the only Phillies hitter to have more than one hit, going 2/3 with an RBI. Stone Garrett had a big game at the plate for the Nationals, going 3/4 with a home run and three RBIs.

Philadelphia has a 94-66 record and is six games ahead of the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies are 28-22 against divisional opponents. As favorites, they are 81-48, but as underdogs, they are 13-18. Their series record this season is 27-18-7.

On the run line, the Phillies are 77-83 overall, with a 40-39 record on the road. Their average run margin in wins is 3.9, and the over/under record for their games is 76-75. This season, 71.9% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Wheeler has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 16-7 with a 2.56 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of .96 and has turned in 25 quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is the same as his overall mark, 2.56, and he has gone 6-4 on the road with a 3.43 ERA. In his last outing, Wheeler took the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. The Phillies have also been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in the league in on-base percentage.

Kyle Schwarber has been a big power threat for the Phillies this season, as his 38 homers are 6th in the league. However, he has gone just 8/37 in his last nine games. Nick Castellanos has been hot of late, going 14/32 in his last nine games, including two homers. He is also on an eight-game hitting streak.

Washington has been struggling, going 2-8 in their last 10 games and they have lost three straight series. They are currently in 4th place in the NL East, 6 games behind the Braves for the 3rd spot. The Nationals’ overall series record is 19-25-6.

On the run line, Washington has an 88-72 record this season, with a scoring margin of -0.6 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 75-79. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, the Nationals have a 17-12 O/U record.

MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals

Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today vs. the Phillies and comes into the game with a record of 10-12 and an ERA of 4.04. So far this season, he has made 31 starts and 10 of them have been quality starts. Gore’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.45, and he is averaging 9.65 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gore pitched seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are 25th in runs per game at 4.1. This is also the 24th ranked home run hitting team in the league. As a team, the Nationals are batting .242, which is 10th in the league, and they have done a good job of not striking out, as they are 5th in the league in this category.

Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .281 this season and is the Nationals’ leader in RBIs. He is also 2nd on the team with 17 homers. CJ Abrams has 20 homers this season, but is hitting just .246. Over his last eight games, Joey Gallo has gone 5/23 with two homers, but is batting just .217 in this stretch.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Phillies and Nationals matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. With the Nationals being the underdog, you can get them at +184 on the money line, and that is our recommended bet for this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler does have a better chance of picking up a win than MacKenzie Gore. However, Wheeler’s odds are -219, and we have Gore finishing with more strikeouts than Wheeler.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.