Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7/11/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-48) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (54-39) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on SN PT. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.

Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+106)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • In their last 15 games, the Brewers have scored 6 or more runs in 8 games.
  • The Brewers have a home record of 28-14, which is the best in their division.
  • The Brewers have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • In head-to-head matchups against the Pirates this season, the Brewers have a 5-2 record.
  • The Brewers have outscored the Pirates 32-16 in their last 5 home games against them.

Pirates vs Brewers

pittsburgh pirates nba

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Pirates by a score of 9-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -161 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Martin Perez for the Pirates and Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Perez only went 4 2/3 innings while giving up five hits and five earned runs. Myers, on the other hand, went eight innings and didn’t give up a run.

Milwaukee’s two and three hitters, Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins, each homered in the game. Adames, Sal Frelick, and Andruw Monasterio each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a 26-29 record this season, and their overall series record is 11-12-5. The Pirates are 18-19 when favored and have won three straight games as favorites. They are looking to take the series lead over the Brewers today, as the series is tied 1-1.

This season, Pirates games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 44-47. When the total is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 6-11. Pittsburgh’s run line record is 50-42, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.4.

Paul Skenes Gets The Start For The Pirates

Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Paul Skenes to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 2.12. Skenes most recently faced the Mets, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer. Skenes has a WHIP of 1.01 this season and is averaging 11.83 strikeouts per nine innings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 17th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. One thing the Pirates do well is draw walks, as they are 12th in the league in that category.

Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the Pirates this season, as he is batting .280 with a team-high 17 homers and 56 RBIs. He is also on a 10-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 12/32 with five homers. Oneil Cruz is also a threat in the lineup, as he has 14 homers and 41 RBIs this season.

With a 54-39 record, the Brewers lead the NL Central by 5.5 games over the Cardinals. Milwaukee’s series record is 16-9-3, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Brewers have an over/under record of 50-39 for the season, and the over has hit in their last three games.

When favored, the Brewers are 32-19 straight up but 21-30 against the run line. As underdogs, they are 22-20 SU and 27-15 vs. the run line. Overall, Milwaukee’s run line record is 48-45, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.

Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Pirates at home. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.18. Opposing batters are hitting .266 off Civale this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.39. In his 18 starts, Civale has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Civale’s last outing came vs. the Dodgers, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

milwaukee brewers

Christian Yelich has been on a tear for the Brewers of late, going 9/23 in his last seven games with three homers and seven runs scored. For the season, Yelich is batting .335 with 11 home runs, which is 2nd on the team. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with 14 homers, but Adames is batting just .240, and Hoskins is at .218.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s top on-base percentage and are 4th in team batting average.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

Our pick for today’s Pirates vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at +106. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout, we feel this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Paul Skenes is projected to go six innings, and we have him finishing with six strikeouts. As for the Brewers starter, Aaron Civale, we have him going five innings and finishing with five K’s.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.