Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs New York Yankees Prediction 9/27/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (93-66) on Friday, September 27th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on SN PT. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Pirates vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-180)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Yankees have scored 10 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive capability.
  • The Yankees have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • The Yankees have a 43-35 home record, demonstrating a solid performance at home.
  • The Yankees have won 6 out of their last 7 home games, highlighting their home-field advantage.
  • The Yankees have outscored their opponents by a total of 30 runs in their last 15 games, showing their offensive dominance.

Pirates vs Yankees

pittsburgh pirates nba

The Yankees Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Brewers scored two runs in the top of the 7th. Pittsburgh was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.

Mitch Keller took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and issued the two walks. Bryan De La Cruz had a big game at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

As the underdog, the Pirates have a 60-37 run line record, and overall, they are 84-75. They have struggled in recent series, losing four straight, and they are currently in 5th place in the NL Central, two games behind the Reds. The Pirates have an over/under record of 76-81 for the season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 74-85 overall and 17 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They are the road underdogs, with a 24-36 record in that role this season. Straight up, they are 40-57 as underdogs and 34-28 when favored. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs.

Jared Jones Gets The Start For The Pirates

Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Jared Jones to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.14. Jones’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Reds. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Nationals and giving up just two earned runs in seven innings of work. Jones has allowed a homer in each of his last three outings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (24th) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. One thing they have done well is limiting strikeouts, as they have the 26th fewest strikeouts in the league. Heading into the game, Isiah Kiner-Falefa is on a four-game hitting streak, and over his last seven games, he is batting .281.

Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 22 homers and Cruz right behind him with 21. Cruz is also 2nd on the team with 76 RBIs, while Reynolds is 1st at 85. Cruz has gone deep twice in his last seven games but is batting just .167 in that stretch. Bryan De La Cruz is also 2nd on the team in homers but has a batting average of just .234.

The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 10-1 win. After allowing one run to the Orioles in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another six runs in the 2nd inning. New York went on to close things out with a 3-run 6th.

Gerrit Cole put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Orioles batters. Giancarlo Stanton was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

As the favorite, the Yankees have a 75-58 record this season and an overall series record of 30-17-4. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and hold a 5.0 game lead over the Orioles in the AL East. New York’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-70.

On the run line, the Yankees are 49-32 on the road and 22-4 as underdogs. Their run line record is 83-76, and the average run margin in their wins is 4.1 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than usual for the Yankees, as 67.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes in with a record of 16-9 and an ERA of 3.98. This year, he has made 31 starts and 16 of them have been quality starts. Rodón has a WHIP of 1.21 and is averaging 10.08 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rodón picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only allowed four hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. At home, Rodón is 9-2 with a 3.60 ERA.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

The Yankees come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The team has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. So far, they have been very patient at the plate, leading the league in walks, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 8/18 with five homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .325 with a league-leading 144 RBIs and 58 homers. Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .288 with 41 homers.

Pirates vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Pirates matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, with the Yankees being -180 on the money line, we actually like the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Rodón is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and with the Yankees being projected to finish with eight as a team, there are some strikeout props you could look at.

As for Jared Jones, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, and with the Yankees being projected to finish with eight as a team, there are some strikeout props you could look at.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.