Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5/17

The Pittsburgh Pirates will play against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game is set for Saturday, May 17, 2025, at 6:05 PM. This night game will see the Pirates as the away team and the Phillies at home.

Pirates vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies MoneyLine: -284. The Phillies have a strong record and are playing at home, where they perform well. Zack Wheeler is also pitching, and he has a solid ERA and WHIP this season.
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 8.5 (-112). With Zack Wheeler’s low ERA and the Pirates’ struggles at the plate, the game may have fewer runs scored.

Team Trends

  • Pittsburgh Pirates have a regular season record of 15-30 and are 11 games back in the NL Central.
  • Philadelphia Phillies have a better regular season record of 26-18 and are 1 game back in the NL East.
  • In a recent game against the New York Mets, Pittsburgh Pirates’ Mitch Keller pitched 7 innings with 8 strikeouts.
  • Philadelphia Phillies’ Aaron Nola allowed 9 earned runs in a game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Kyle Schwarber hit 2 home runs in a game where the Phillies won 3-0 against the Cleveland Guardians.

Pirates vs Phillies Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Citizens Bank Park to meet the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at 6:05 PM. The Pirates will rely on their starting pitcher, Carmen Mlodzinski. He has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 5.20 this season. Mlodzinski will look to improve his performance on the road.

The Phillies will have Zack Wheeler on the mound. Wheeler has been strong with a 4-1 record and a 2.95 ERA. His WHIP of .91 shows his control on the field. Fans expect Wheeler to continue his solid pitching at home. This game will test both pitchers under the lights in Philadelphia.

Phillies’ Key Players and Stats

The Philadelphia Phillies have strong hitters leading their lineup. Kyle Schwarber stands out with a .262 batting average and 15 home runs. He leads the league in home runs, runs, and RBIs, making him a key player to watch. Bryce Harper adds power to the Phillies’ batting order. With a .248 average, Harper has hit 7 home runs and driven in 25 RBIs. His performance ranks second on the team in home runs and RBIs. Trea Turner contributes with his consistent hitting. Turner has a .302 average and has scored 28 runs. Although he has only 2 home runs, his ability to get on base and score runs is valuable for the team.

Pirates’ Performance and Player Insights

The Pittsburgh Pirates have Oneil Cruz as a standout player. He has 8 home runs, leading both the team and league. However, Cruz is dealing with back tightness, making his participation uncertain. Bryan Reynolds has played 43 games with a .194 batting average. He has 5 home runs and leads the team in RBIs with 20. His performance is crucial for the Pirates’ offense. Andrew McCutchen contributes with a .254 average in 39 games. He has hit 3 home runs and driven in 14 RBIs. McCutchen’s ability to get on base helps the team in key situations.

Final Betting Pick

The Phillies are favored for a reason. They have a strong home record at 15-8 and are just one game back in their division. Zack Wheeler is a key player, with a 2.95 ERA and a WHIP of .91 this season. His performance on the mound is a big factor in the Phillies’ success.

The Pirates have struggled on the road with a 6-17 record. Their hitting stats are low, with a .219 batting average and .326 slugging percentage. Oneil Cruz’s uncertain status due to injury adds to their challenges. These factors support the prediction for the Phillies to win and for the game to stay under 8.5 runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change. **All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk. Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.