The Cincinnati Reds (34-35) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (40-29) on Saturday, June 15th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Reds vs Brewers
Cincinnati rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Reds vs. Brewers series. The Reds scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +142 on the money line.
Milwaukee wasted a good outing from Freddy Peralta, as he gave up just two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Brewers. Hunter Greene struggled on the mound for the Reds, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He did finish the game with five strikeouts.
TJ Friedl was the difference for the Reds, as he homered twice, scored two runs, and finished with two RBIs. Jeimer Candelario, Elly De La Cruz, and Jake Fraley each had two hits and an RBI for Cincinnati’s offense.
Cincinnati is 34-35 overall this season, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. They are 6.0 games behind the Brewers for the division lead, and they trail the Cardinals by a half-game for the 2nd spot in the division. The Reds have won two straight games and are 8-2 across their last 10.
So far, the Reds have gone 18-19 at home compared to 16-16 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 10-15 this season, and they are 8-12-2 in series this year. Cincinnati has won five straight games as the road, and they are 18-13 as the favorite.
The Reds are a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 37-32 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 22-10 on the run line. Their average run differential on the road is +0.8 runs per game, compared to -0.3 at home. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and have been a better bet as the underdog (22-16) than as the favorite (15-16).
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for this game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has played 66 games this season, and 35 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The over/under record for the Reds this season is 31-35, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs per game.
Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds
Left-hander Andrew Abbott is starting for the Reds today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.28 ERA. Abbott’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 6.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Abbott most recently faced the Cubs, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Currently, the Reds are 15th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Reds are batting just .227, which is 22nd in the league, and have the 15th most home runs in the league.
Jeimer Candelario has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, going 7/21 with four homers and eight RBIs over his last five games. For the season, he is batting .247 with 12 homers and 33 RBIs. Spencer Steer is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as his 41 RBIs are 14th in the MLB. Elly De La Cruz is 10th in the league with 11 homers and is batting just .232.
Milwaukee is 40-29 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cardinals by 5.5 games. The Brewers have gone 16-9 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they have been good at home, going 20-12.
The Brewers have been equally as good on the road, putting together a record of 20-17. This season, they have been a bit better as the favorite, going 21-13. Milwaukee has lost two straight games, and they are just 4-6 over their last 10.
When the Brewers win, they win big. Milwaukee has an average run margin of +3.6 in their victories, but when they lose, they lose by an average of -2.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 35-34, and they are 21-16 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.9 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. The Brewers have played 67 games this season, and 38 of them have gone over the total. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 18 of 31 games, which is a 58.1% clip. Overall, 13% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending Bryse Wilson to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 16 appearances this year and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.19. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his eight starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 6.83 strikeouts per nine innings. Wilson most recently started vs. the Tigers, where he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up a combined three earned runs in his previous two outings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Christian Yelich has been on a tear for the Brewers, hitting .394 over his last nine games. During this stretch, he has scored two runs and driven in three. Overall, Yelich is batting .255 with a team-high 12 homers. William Contreras has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is on an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .307 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 4th best team batting average and are the top team in terms of batting average on balls in play.
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -130. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would put the over/under at 8.5 runs, making the over a solid pick as well.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryse Wilson finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Andrew Abbott, who we have finishing with six. Wilson is also projected to go longer into the game than Abbott.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 15, 2024 Brewers, Reds