Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8/23/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (62-66) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (60-67) on Friday, August 23rd. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on APLTV. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Pirates (-118)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Pirates have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, including their most recent game against the Reds where they scored 7 runs.
  • The Pirates have a winning record at home with 30 wins and 32 losses, compared to the Reds’ away record of 31 wins and 32 losses.
  • The Pirates have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
  • The Pirates have a head-to-head advantage, winning their last home game against the Reds with a score of 1-0.
  • The Pirates have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games, indicating strong offensive performance.

Reds vs Pirates

cincinnati reds nba

Pittsburgh cruised to a 7-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Reds, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster one run.

Paul Skenes pitched well for the Pirates in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Nick Lodolo took the loss for the Reds.

Yasmani Grandal and Bryan De La Cruz each had three RBIs for the Pirates’ offense. Grandal, Bryan Reynolds, and Kevin Newman each scored two runs for Pittsburgh.

As the underdog on the run line, the Reds have been profitable this season, with a 41-26 record. Overall, they are 68-60 vs. the run line. Cincinnati is 31-32 straight up on the road and 12-5 as road favorites. The Reds are currently down 0-1 in the series vs. the Pirates, and their series record for the season is 16-21-3.

In the NL Central, the Reds are 11.5 games behind the Brewers and trail the Cubs by one game for the third spot. Their overall record is 62-66, and they have a 18-18 divisional record. The over/under record for Reds games this season is 59-63, with an average of 8.7 runs per game.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Pirates. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 10-10 with a 3.72 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.30 and has issued 3.39 walks per nine innings compared to 7.43 strikeouts. Abbott has made nine quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Royals, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 5/16 in his last five games with four runs scored and an RBI. De La Cruz is currently leading the Reds in home runs and is 2nd on the team in RBIs. Overall, he is batting .262 for the season. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds’ home run and RBI charts, but he is batting just .234 this season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league and are 12th in slugging percentage.

When favored, the Pirates have a 26-21 record, but as underdogs, they are 34-46. Overall, Pittsburgh is 60-67 and 5th in the NL Central, 13 games behind the Brewers. They won the first game of this series vs. the Reds, who are 11.5 games behind the Brewers and 1.5 games ahead of the Pirates.

For games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a 26-19 O/U record. This season, their games have averaged 8.4 runs, and their overall O/U record is 60-65.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today vs. the Reds and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Mariners. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and picking up the win. Looking back over his last three outings, Falter has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 6-7, along with an ERA of 4.03. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off the left-hander this season. Falter has a total of seven quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 4.35 compared to 5.1 on the road.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. The Pirates have been led offensively by Bryan Reynolds, who is batting .282 for the season and leads the team with 70 RBIs. Reynolds also has 19 home runs, which is the top mark on the team.

Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with both players having gone deep 18 times this season. In his last six games, Jared Triolo has gone just 3/16 and has two homers in that stretch.

Reds vs Pirates Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Pirates matchup is that the Pirates will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking for a bet, we would recommend taking the Pirates on the money line, where the payout is -118.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Falter is projected to finish with four strikeouts compared to Andrew Abbott, who is projected to finish with five. However, Falter is projected to finish with fewer earned runs, and we have him going 5 1/3 innings compared to Abbott, who is projected to go just 4 1/3.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.