The Cincinnati Reds (37-43) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (41-38) on Thursday, June 27th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 6:45 CT.
Reds vs Cardinals
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it was Cincinnati’s third straight loss. The Reds were actually the slight favorite at -137 on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Pirates scored a run in the 2nd and added three more in the 3rd.
Graham Ashcraft got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on nine hits. Jonathan India had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Reds’ only other run came in the 3rd inning.
Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central at 10.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. Overall, the Reds are 37-43, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Pirates. Their record in the division is 10-12 this season.
At home, the Reds have gone 20-23 this season and are just under .500 at 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati is 20-16 and 17-27 as the underdog. The Reds’ overall series record is 8-16-2, and they have dropped four straight series.
The Reds are a team that has been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 42-38 overall. They are 24-13 on the run line on the road, and their average run margin is +0.1 runs per game. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 26-18 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6 runs per game.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today to face the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the season average of 9 runs per game. The Reds have played 12 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 6-6. Overall, the over has hit in 34 of their 77 games this season.
Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.40 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.18 and opponents are batting .222 this season. In his 15 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.44 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Abbott picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had allowed at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 13/37 in his last nine games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .249 with a team-high 14 homers. Jeimer Candelario also has 14 homers for the Reds, but he has struggled of late, hitting just .194 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are batting just .228 for the season. Their collective on-base percentage of .305 is also below the league average. Currently, they are 15th in home runs and have the 17th ranked scoring offense in the league.
The Cardinals’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Braves in the top of the first, the Cardinals responded with two runs of their own. St. Louis went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.
Matthew Liberatore put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Braves batters. Alec Burleson was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Cardinals also had three other players with a single hit.
St. Louis is hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 41-38, which has them six games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are 9-9 in divisional games this year and have an overall series record of 14-11-1, including winning two straight series. At home, the Cardinals are 22-16 and 19-22 on the road.
As the favorite, the Cardinals have gone 20-17 this year and 21-21 as the underdog. St. Louis’ two-game winning streak came as the favorite, and they closed out their series vs. the Braves with two straight wins. So far, the Cardinals have an overall record of 14-11 as the home favorite.
When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better play at home than on the road, going 23-15 in St. Louis. They have been a better play as the underdog, going 26-16, compared to 15-22 as the favorite. Their average run margin in games they win is +2.4, while it drops to -3.4 in their losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals are playing at home against the Cincinnati Reds today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. The Cardinals have a 34-42 O/U record on the season, and when the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 15 of 25 games, which accounts for 21.5% of their games this season. Overall, 37 of their games have had lower O/U lines than 8.5 runs, which is 46.8% of their games.
Miles Mikolas Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Miles Mikolas is coming off a start in which he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Despite the high earned run total, he was able to pick up the win in that outing against the Giants. Looking back further, Mikolas has turned in a quality start in three of his last four outings. For the season, he has a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 4.68. Opponents are batting .254 off the right-hander this year. Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.16 and is averaging 6.68 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has made nine quality starts.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
The Cardinals offense is averaging 4 runs per game this season, which is 25th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 13th in the league, and have the 16th most home runs in the league. St. Louis has a few hitters with good batting averages, but they will need to get more production from Nolan Gorman, who is batting just .191 but does have a team-high 16 homers.
Over the past six games, both Alec Burleson and Brendan Donovan have gone 11/21, with Burleson hitting two homers and Donovan also going deep twice. Donovan leads the team with 40 RBIs, while Burleson is 2nd on the team with 36 RBIs and has 12 homers.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
With the Reds coming in at +112 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Reds, giving you a chance to get them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Mikolas finishing with more strikeouts than Abbott, but we still have Mikolas finishing with just five K’s. If you’re looking to get in on the over/under, we would go with the over, as we have this one finishing with nine total runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 27, 2024 Cardinals, Reds