The Seattle Mariners (56-51) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (55-49) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-124)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- In their last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, demonstrating a strong offensive performance.
- The Red Sox have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, showing a favorable trend when playing at home.
- In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have won 4 out of 5 games against teams with a winning record, indicating their ability to compete against strong opponents.
- The Red Sox have a higher overall home win percentage (25-27) compared to the Mariners’ away win percentage (25-28), giving them an edge at Fenway Park.
- In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have had 3 games where they scored 9 or more runs, showcasing their potential for high-scoring games.
Mariners vs Red Sox
The Mariners Are Coming Off A Win
Seattle closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 6-3 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Mariners, as they scored two runs, and added another run in the 2nd to take a 3-0 lead. The White Sox pulled to within one run with a 3rd inning homer, but Seattle’s offense scored another three runs in the 4th to put things out of reach.
Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. Cal Raleigh had only two hits, but one of them was a home run, and Victor Robles scored three runs, going 2/5.
Seattle is tied with Houston for the AL West lead with a 56-51 record, as they head into today’s game on a three-game winning streak. The Mariners have a 37-32 record as favorites this season, and their average run margin in wins is 3.3 runs per game.
The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 10 of the 13 games with that total this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mariners games is 45-57, and the over has hit in their last three games.
Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Gilbert has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 2.72 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .185 off Gilbert this season. In his last outing, Gilbert took the loss, giving up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gilbert has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4-2 record and 3.30 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 3.07 ERA at home.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the majors. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. The Mariners are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game, but they do come into the game with the 6th most walks in the league. As a team, they are batting just .218.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, leading the team with 22 home runs and 66 RBIs. Raleigh is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone deep four times in his last nine games. Julio Rodriguez comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .263 and has 11 homers this season.
The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with an 8-2 loss. Boston was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Yankees scored three times in the first.
Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Rob Refsnyder had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Red Sox’s other run came from a Connor Wong solo homer.
So far this season, the Red Sox have played in games averaging 9.4 runs, with a 51-47 over/under record. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their current over streak is at four games. As the underdog vs. the run line, they have a 29-22 record, but as the favorite, they are 19-34.
After dropping their last two games vs. the Yankees, the Red Sox are 55-49 overall and are 6.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have lost three straight series and have a 16-13-5 series record this season.
Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, as he gave up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Before that start, Pivetta had put together three straight quality starts. For the season, he has a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.50. Opponents are batting .234 off the right-hander this season. Pivetta’s ERA at home is 6.53 compared to 5.33 on the road.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Boston also has the league’s top BABIP, and they are 3rd in slugging percentage.
Both Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging hot bats of late, with Duran going 18/46 in his last 10 games and O’Neill batting .395 with six homers in his last nine games. For the season, O’Neill is 2nd on the team with 22 homers, and Rafael Devers is leading the way with 23 homers and is also 13th in the league with 64 RBIs.
Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction
Our prediction for this game is that the Red Sox will pick up a 6-4 win at home. Given that they are at -124 on the money line, that is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the best among all starters today. As for Logan Gilbert, he is projected to finish with six K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 29, 2024 Mariners, Red Sox