The Seattle Mariners (56-52) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (56-49) on Tuesday, July 30th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (+101)
• Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs

• Red Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 9 of their last 15 games.
• Red Sox have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games.
• Red Sox have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Mariners.
• Red Sox have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Mariners (8th).
• Red Sox have a better recent home record (5-2) compared to the Mariners’ recent away record (4-6).

Mariners vs Red Sox

Boston cruised to a 14-7 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their fourteen runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their seven runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -122 on the money line.

Nick Pivetta got the win for the Red Sox, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with ten strikeouts but issued two homers. Logan Gilbert had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss after going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs.

Offensively, the Red Sox were led by Masataka Yoshida, who went 3/5 with a home run and four RBI. Both Dominic Smith and Romy Gonzalez each drove in two for Boston’s offense.

Seattle is tied with the Astros for the AL West lead, holding a 3.5-game advantage over the Rangers. The Mariners have a 19-13 record in divisional games this season. As favorites, they are 37-32, but as underdogs, they are 19-20. Their overall series record is 15-17-2.

Mariners games have averaged 7.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 46-57. The over has hit in four straight games, and their run line record is 48-60. The average run differential in their games is +0.2 runs per game.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 8-10. Castillo’s ERA is 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.16. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Castillo has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.01 compared to 4.42 on the road. The right-hander most recently faced the Angels, where he didn’t allow a run in six innings of work, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in six straight outings.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 23 homers are the best on the Mariners and 10th in the MLB. He is also 11th in the league with 67 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 this season and has gone deep 11 times. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers this season but is batting just .219.

Over the last 10 games, Jorge Polanco has four homers for the Mariners and is 10/37 (.270). Victor Robles has also been hot of late, going 14/39 in his last 10 games. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .218 and are averaging only 3.9 runs per game.

Currently, the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a 56-49 record, trailing the Orioles by six games. They have lost seven of their last ten games and are looking to bounce back after dropping three straight series. The over has hit in their last five games, and their season average total is 9.5 runs per game.

On the run line, Boston has been more profitable on the road with a 29-23 record, compared to 20-33 at home. Overall, they have a series record of 16-13-5 and are 32-22 as favorites. The O/U record in games with a total of 9.5 runs is 7-7 for the Red Sox this season.

James Paxton Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Left-hander James Paxton gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Mariners. Paxton has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 8-2 with an ERA of 4.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Paxton has a WHIP of 1.46 and opponents are batting .242 this season. In his 18 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.45 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Paxton picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. He did give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Red Sox come into the game with the 6th best scoring offense in the league, but they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .259 as a team (3rd) and have the league’s 2nd best slugging percentage. Boston also has the best team BABIP in the league and have the 4th best OPS in the MLB.

Both Tyler O’Neill and Jarren Duran have been swinging the bat well of late, with O’Neill hitting .333 over his last seven games with four homers, and Duran has gone 12/38 in his last eight games with two homers. Rafael Devers has also been hot, as he is currently on a six-game hitting streak and comes into the game with a team-high 23 homers and 64 RBIs.

Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction

Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout sitting at +101. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among all starters today. As for Luis Castillo, his projected strikeout total is six, which is 11th among all starters.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.