The Seattle Mariners (57-52) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (56-50) on Wednesday, July 31st. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (+102)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
- In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 6 or more runs in 9 games, showing a strong offensive performance.
- The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 6 home games, indicating a favorable home-field advantage.
- In their last 3 home games against the Mariners, the Red Sox have scored an average of 8.67 runs per game.
- The Red Sox have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Mariners (7th), suggesting overall better performance this season.
- The Red Sox have a better head-to-head record against the Mariners this season, winning 3 out of 5 games.
Mariners vs Red Sox
Thanks to a five-run 5th inning for the Mariners’ offense, they cruised to a 10-6 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -116 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Luis Castillo for the Mariners, and he went six innings while giving up three runs and picked up a win. James Paxton got the start for the Red Sox and went just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and took the loss.
Seattle got a huge performance from Jorge Polanco, as he went 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Dylan Moore also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. Victor Robles scored three times for the Mariners’ offense.
Seattle is 38-32 when favored this season, and they have been favored in 70 games. The Mariners have an overall series record of 15-17-2, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 47-57, and their games have had an average total of 8 runs.
On the road, the Mariners are 26-29 straight up and 26-29 against the run line. They have an overall run line record of 49-60. Seattle is currently one game ahead of the Astros in the AL West, with a 57-52 record. This season, the Mariners have an average run margin of +3.3 in wins and -3.2 in losses.
George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle starter George Kirby has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 8-7. His ERA for the season is 3.03, along with a WHIP of .98. Kirby has turned in 15 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.89 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kirby was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Kirby has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.30 ERA compared to 3.78 on the road.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per game. The Mariners are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game. However, they do come into the game with the 10th most home runs in the league.
Cal Raleigh has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 23 homers are 8th best in the league. He also leads the Mariners with 67 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has been a solid all-around hitter for the Mariners, batting .263 with 11 homers. Over his last nine games, Jorge Polanco is hitting .294 with five homers, while Victor Robles has gone 13/38 over that stretch.
Boston has a 56-50 record heading into today’s game against the Mariners, and they are currently 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by seven games. The Red Sox have dropped seven of their last ten games and have a series record of 16-13-5, but they have lost three straight series.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2, but when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.2. Their over/under record is 53-47, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season. Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is lower than usual, as 76.4% of their games have had lower lines, and their games are currently on a six-game over streak.
Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Mariners. Coming into the game, he has a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 5.28. Bello has made 19 starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 7.46. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.44, and he has a total of six quality starts.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox are one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 7th in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. Boston also does a good job of putting the ball in play, as their strikeout rate is the 27th best in the league.
Rafael Devers has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/23 in his last six games, including one home run. Devers is currently 7th in the league in home runs and is 10th in the league with 68 RBIs. Devers is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have also been key power bats for the Red Sox, with Duran having 13 homers and O’Neill at 22 for the season.
Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction
With the Red Sox are actually the underdogs in this one, we really like them to pick up a win at home, and you can get them at +102. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with seven strikeouts compared to George Kirby with six. However, Bello is projected to finish with the fourth-most strikeouts among starters today, and Kirby is eighth.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 31, 2024 Mariners, Red Sox